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Thursday, October 22, 2026

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@kevin__mak

Kevin Mak on X

$MRNA Update on the realtime short-interest from Markit. Note that on 10/8 there was the NDX100 inclusion event, that mechanically increases short interest (due to index arb/basket/swap/etc) type of trades, so don't look at that step-up in short interest as indicative of anything. I am very interested in observing how positioning evolves from this point onwards, now that the "data is out". Most of the "bio experts" say this is massively overvalued, but someone obviously keeps buying. Does that buying come roaring back? Do they all switch to sellers? Time will tell! (I have a tiny short position on from $160ish.) Disclosure: Creek Drive and its affiliated funds holds a short position in MRNA. Views expressed are current opinions for information only, subject to change and are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves the risk of loss and past performance is not indicative of future performance. See the disclosures link in my bio for more important information.
@convequity 1 click

Convequity on X

We think Huawei's control of lasers, optics and packaging could weaken pricing power at NVIDIA ($NVDA) and Broadcom ($AVGO). Our view: designing these components together lets Huawei choose embedded lasers based on what works best for the whole system, with less need to accommodate separate suppliers' products and margins. That makes lower-power embedded lasers easier to use and reduces dependence on scarce high-power external lasers. Huawei's 7.2 Tb/s Hi-ONE optical engine, which we highlighted in our recent report, shows the progress in connectivity behind this challenge. Better connections between processors can help an AI system use its computing capacity more efficiently, giving Huawei a way to compete beyond the performance of individual chips. If this lowers costs and deployment delays, customers in markets open to Huawei get a stronger alternative to systems built around Nvidia accelerators or Broadcom's custom chips and networking. At Convequity we think that could weaken both companies' ability to command premium prices.

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Tesla Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

Tesla’s Q3 revenue was flat at $28.0 billion, while operating income fell 56% as R&D spending on AI rose 69%; SpaceX merger discussions are…

TSLA $1.5T
Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Meta Earnings Update: Q3 2026

Meta’s Q3 revenue rose 26% to $64.6 billion, but $34.9 billion in AI infrastructure spending drove free cash flow negative as it created…

META $1.8T
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 3 clicks

Meta: 3Q26 Business Update

Meta’s Family of Apps revenue grew 26% as Muse reached 10 million users, testing AI-agent commerce while Amazon restricts access and…

META $1.8T
Speedwell Memos 4 clicks
EXPE · long

Expedia Group INC

Expedia Group, one of the largest online travel companies, has roughly 3.6 million lodging properties and is expanding internationally.

EXPE $35B
Value Investors Club

Eli Lilly And Co. (LLY)

Eli Lilly's Mounjaro and Zepbound drove 2025 revenue to $65.2 billion as the drugmaker expands AI partnerships with Nvidia, Isomorphic…

LLY $1.2T
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 25 clicks

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