Evan Tindell on X
Dang I missed this one -- Nielsen CEO $NIQ almost bottom ticked it at $9 https://t.co/Zh7pIvOHua
X
Evan Tindell
Everything we have picked from this writer, newest first.
Evan Tindell on X
Ziff Davis $ZD on their Q2 earnings call: "We've seen huge increases in the amount of code generated by AI. We shipped 24% more code in the second quarter and we expect nearly 100% of new code to be generated by AI by the end of the year"
Evan Tindell on X
Blog post alert: $MRNA https://t.co/32w6RYXr0p
Evan Tindell on X
Hi please bring me all of your most bearish arguments on $MRNA and why this price is unsustainable, the final phase 3 data won't be that good, it won't work in other cancers, etc
Evan Tindell on X
Now that Cursor is owned by $SPCX, are corporations really going to use Grok Bot or Cursor over ChatGPT Work and Codex, regardless of how good they are? Grok / X / Elon's brand in corporate America is pretty toxic...
Evan Tindell on X
Started with a new bookkeeper and she is using a new AI-powered month close software tool called https://t.co/5DRnoatdyK. Notably, this product doesn't try (yet????) to take over QuickBooks's business. It integrates with QuickBooks. $INTU Meanwhile Intuit stock is still near all-time lows...
Evan Tindell on X
Google Cloud revenue only give a short term boost, but semi revenues to $nvda etc are recurring? 🤔🤔🤔 https://t.co/jCBQufOMDJ
Evan Tindell on X
Finally got a chance to go through the $UMG earnings... Obviously, a disappointment on revenue growth and margins, which saw the stock drop like 20%. Subscription revenue was 6.7% organically, and the street was looking for >9%. So, a big miss. Still, I think things should improve. Apple, Spotify, Amazon, and YouTube music have all raised prices this year, and a portion of that will go to UMG. CFO Matt Ellis said on the call that these prices and "better market share to start the third quarter" make them "cautiously optimistic" (really sticking his neck out there!!) that growth will improve in H2 of 2026. Interestingly, Warner Music $WMG managed to grow revenue 12% in CC and adjusted OIBDA by 24%, so clearly this is a UMG-only problem, at least for this quarter. $UMG trades at 14x earnings on a NTM basis now... this seems pretty reasonable if not downright cheap for a company that has grown EBIT from EUR 1b in 2019 to around 2b today (11% organic EBITDA CAGR). We own this through Bollore, which currently has an NAV of just above 11 EUR by my calculation vs a last price of under 4 EUR. Notably, JPM thinks new AI tiers in Spotify and Apple Music will drive ARPU growth of 300 bps per year. Their price target was 48 EUR prior to the recent earnings release...
