Convequity on X
A confirmed Anthropic IPO would lower the odds that Broadcom $AVGO ever pays on its backstop of about $42 billion of senior debt owed by the vehicle that leases Google TPUs to Anthropic. A separate financing vehicle borrows the money, buys the TPUs and leases them to Anthropic, and Anthropic's lease payments cover that vehicle's debt. If Anthropic can't keep paying, Broadcom has agreed to cover part of the lenders' losses on about $42 billion of that senior debt. The support is there if Anthropic goes bust or falls into serious difficulty. It is not a promise to repay the entire amount. An IPO does not change the dollar size of that exposure. It changes the chance Broadcom has to pay. Up to $100 billion of new equity gives Anthropic more room to keep meeting the lease, so the vehicle is more likely to keep servicing its debt, and Broadcom is less likely to be called. A failed listing would raise that chance. In our view, confirmation of the listing is a modest positive for AVGO. The obligation stays. A confirmed listing makes it less likely to be called, and that shrinks the overhang.
