Deep Sail Capital on X
Anti Software trade. Short $OKTA and $TWLO. Both are up 80-120% this year. If software trends down they both will get crushed 30%.
X
Everything we have picked from this writer, newest first.
Anti Software trade. Short $OKTA and $TWLO. Both are up 80-120% this year. If software trends down they both will get crushed 30%.
$CRDO It’s pretty rare you find such a high moat business with massive growth that has been managed so well to keep extending their growth pathways. Three years ago they were just copper, now much more. The optics position: Credo isn’t just an AEC (copper) story anymore — they now own the full AI interconnect stack: • Optical DSPs (record Q1 revenue, 50G/100G-per-lane shipping now, 1.6T ramping later this FY) • ZeroFlap Optics • Silicon Photonics PICs (first revenue post-DustPhotonics deal) Management’s guiding >$600m in optical revenue for FY27 alone, with each of DSP/ZeroFlap/SiPho individually clearing $100m As AI clusters scale and speeds push past 800G toward 1.6T, connectivity becomes the bottleneck, everyone knows this. Credo sits at nearly every layer of that bottleneck, it’s been really thoughtful about product expansion so far. Management deserves more credit.
$CRDO Added back here. Trim in the high $200s. https://t.co/lcCN8KshU5
I warned everyone short $GPRO this morning in my substack that a squeeze in $GPRO was possible at $1.3/share and to keep an eye out for the borrow situation. Now we sit at $1.79 in AH. With very limited borrow available most of the afternoon. Substack link in bio. https://t.co/RGNT469TJt
$GPRO - Currently zero short borrow at IBKR. Squeezing the shorts.
$GPRO Squeezing here to $1.7/share. Up from $1.3 earlier today. I suspect the M&A caused alot of short sellers to enter the market and the borrow situation could get crazy, similar to $BYND or $BIRD. https://t.co/YgNwMHMLAF
$CRDO - 2027 and 2028 look so good, but it’s such a volatile stock it’s going to be a wild ride. This is one where it makes sense to trim / add a lot.
GoPro $GPRO - A failed YouTuber pump, crushed by M&A https://t.co/gpscNAV2rQ https://t.co/H54oIAbZeZ
Quantum / SMRs seems pretty bombed out. I love to see a better entry point on $OKLO or $QBTS
$RUM Great entry the last week. Target back to $6-7 range. $DJT ok entry here, long way to go to zero over the next few years. https://t.co/9cQrIyVmp7
RUM Group ($RUM) formerly Rumble - More dilution chasing that dragon https://t.co/TBLsCx23T6 https://t.co/AwdyTpN79I
$RUM is by far the most "chasing the cool thing right now" company of any out there, and they just use massive share dilution to get it done. First they tried to get into Crypto with the Tether deal a few years ago (100m share dilution). And now they are trying to get into datacenters, with Northern Data Acquisition (120m share dilution). Today they announced they are offering a counterparty 50m shares via warrants with a strike price of $0.01 just for the commercial deal to buy their GPU services. How can anyone trust this management?
$OUST was really strong, Rev8 has some serious legs. $ZDC.v another solid quarter, good momentum in US.
@SimeonResearch_ $RCMT definitely got interesting in the last two quarters.
Yeah it’s pretty hard to predict, I think with good data tracking and social sentiment you might be able to gain an edge. If you can predict only a handful a year your returns could be outstanding. I successfully predicted $BYND last year for a sizeable return. You could also subscribe to https://t.co/7R7A2Nonkw
@ShalinSShah @KairosPraxis I am in the process of working on a case study for $PNG that I will post shortly on my blog with and updated thesis from here.
With all the analysts updating their models post the Q2 earnings beat, $CLS is now trading at 13x EBITDA NTM consensus while growing topline 65%.
I think you raise all good points around the negatives. Many investors have been burned by the company over the years. But I’d say this is in part exactly way there is such a huge opportunity in the stock here. I think if you really dig in and understand the industry and $SPCB recent wins you come away seeing just how huge of a runway they have and they have already secured a large amount of future revenue with their wins this last year
@PythiaR @BillBrewsterTBB You know it’s Joe Burnett! $MAMA ceo Adam Michaels is impressive
@WaterworldCapi1 @tierrapartners $ARQQ and $BTQ as well.
$MRNA - Who wants to hold this over the weekend after the week it had and potential secondary overhang?
@HiddenGemsInves $CLPT $NURS.v $ZDC.v $PNG.v $OUST
@HiddenGemsInves @friedoystercult @MikeFritzell FYI- $ISSC is now $IA
Did Moderna $MRNA just cure cancer? Probably not https://t.co/QBodzsTaZD https://t.co/qFRucE9ri8