David Orr on X
@SowingAlphaSeed So $AMZN probably has lots of sites to divert to compute if needed, no real permits even really required I bet...
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@SowingAlphaSeed So $AMZN probably has lots of sites to divert to compute if needed, no real permits even really required I bet...
Nvidia is using its balance sheet to seed neocloud customers against hyperscalers, whose ASIC demand dominates AI infrastructure.
NET Power (NPWR) is a microcap pursuing behind-the-meter power projects for data centers.
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
AI data-center vacancy rates are 2-3% as tenants scramble for compute capacity; a customer loss raises doubts that WYFI can replace it after NC-1 performance issues.
The $WYFI data center which was formerly a food distribution center. https://t.co/t2cpUNZXqp
$WYFI Retrofitted a food distro warehouse into a NC-1 DC. Lost anchor tenant ($20M rev), promising a new large customer since 10/27. CEO claiming “very very soon” for last 20 days. Increasingly evident will not happen. Sell-side & stock prices assume huge rev ramp. Burning cash.
$AMZN incremental AWS margins are 57% and operating cash flow grew +40% against a much harder comp. These types of numbers show that ROIC is there on the capex.
Microsoft’s results showed accelerating Azure growth, compute demand gains and operating cash flow growth above 30%, supporting the AI infrastructure trade despite lower reported capex from accounting changes.
Meta’s committed AI capex risks exceeding financeable demand as capital costs rise, forcing a pivot from excess capacity.
@FrostByte123456 Yes. $GOOGL needs to feed TWO capex intensive businesses: 1. Search (Gemeni) and 2. Cloud. $AMZN needs to only feed one, which is AWS.
@kermankohli GCP is baked into $GOOGL's price already. $META's cloud optionality is obviously not. You may prefer the known thing but its the unknown things that over much more asymmetry.
Alphabet faces a two-front AI capex burden, funding internal search competition and external cloud capacity without Meta’s excess-compute pivot.
Alphabet beat its stated KPIs, but a 6% stock decline signals investor resistance to hyperscaler AI capex without quantified cash returns.
@LogicalThesis Market might sell $AMZN some here. But the distinction that should be made is that a massive amount of $GOOGL's capex is funding internal compute needs. The majority of AMZN's capex is for external.
Ok so $GOOGL says: -capex materially higher -Q3 cloud margins lower due to 3P capacity used at higher cost -search revs to slow on tougher comp -ambiguous word salad wrt to capex ROIC -ATM not used yet (maybe that's a mistake?) -No buyback in the Q
They were! $WULF signed deal with Anthropic today https://t.co/82fVRUxJtN
TeraWulf could secure a data-center tenant by late June as Anthropic pursues leases, raising the prospect of AI infrastructure upside.