Thursday, November 5, 2026

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)

UBER $147B

SA Luca Socci Nov 5 4 clicks

The hyperscalers (almost) always win

Amazon’s AWS grew 39.3% with roughly 39% margins, while retail unit growth and lower cost to serve expand its delivery network’s reach.

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

Array Technologies And Shoals Merger Creates Upside Potential

Array Technologies and Shoals Technologies plan to merge, targeting cross-selling and cost synergies as ARRY's order book holds firm and…

ARRY $715MSHLS $1.5B

SA Caffital Research Nov 5 3 clicks

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

PYPL · long

Paypal Holdings INC

PayPal’s valuation implies free cash flow will shrink 9.3% annually over the next decade, framing a long thesis against its recent revenue…

Cerebras June 2026 Earnings

Cerebras faces shareholder criticism over $700,000 to $850,000 WSE-3 rack pricing, alleged packaging-yield losses and SRAM-based KV-cache…

Micron’s Profits Are Exploding. Is This the Top of the Cycle?

Micron’s $1.37 trillion valuation prices in durable HBM and AI-driven memory profits, despite Q3 guidance for $33.5 billion revenue and an…

Weekend Thoughts: Malone’s Born to Be Wired Book; Thoughts on Cable; Is CHTR Cheap?

Charter’s $11 billion to $8 billion capex plan may not be durable as copper-network upgrades face fiber competition, while CHTR shares have…

Apollo and what even is private credit?

Apollo’s Marc Rowan argues private-credit risk depends on underwriting, seniority, leverage and diversification, not whether a bank or fund…

Wix: More Pain (Ticker: WIX)

Wix cut 2026 bookings guidance by $50 million and revenue by $25 million after layoffs and weaker agency-partner demand, deepening scrutiny…

The ISA Doesn't Matter Where It Counts

X86 and Arm matter less than GPU interconnects in AI server CPUs, with NVLink-C2C and Infinity Fabric defining the highest-value…

Precision AI

Adobe’s licensed vector data, corporate workflow integration and compliance framework could give it an edge in precision AI as frontier…

The Great RPO Illusion: Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia, and the Neoclouds

OpenAI commitments can be counted as Microsoft RPO, Nvidia revenue and neocloud backlog, layering claims on the same underlying demand.

Intuit deep dive

Intuit’s investment case turns on whether AI strengthens or weakens QuickBooks and TurboTax moats across SMB accounting, payroll, payments…