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Wednesday, October 21, 2026

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@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

$NVDA today announces capacity agreements with substrate, packaging, testing and optical engine suppliers. - Substrate agreements with Ibiden, Samsung Electro-Mechanics and Unimicron to expand by 2.5x - $AMKR to increase advanced packaging capacity by more than 300% by the end of 2028, with a new $1.3B agreement - Multibillion dollar capacity reservation advance to support Ibiden's plant in Japan - "By 2028, production allocated to $NVDA is projected to account for a significant portion of Samsung Electro-Mechanics' total annual package substrate production capacity" - KYEC with $1.1B capacity reservation in advance - SPIL for optical engine capacity for CPO by 15x by H2 2027 and double that for 2028 Well, that's a lot of news. As Jensen Huang puts it: "Demand is extraordinary. Capacity is the constraint."
@orrdavid 3 clicks

David Orr on X

The next 5 years could be an incredible stock picker's market. Long the companies that win from AI efficiencies but whos business is not threatened by AI. Companies who get to fire their lawyers and accountants etc but already have an impossible to beat scale advantage (because AI does not attack that scale advantage). Short the companies that lose from big AI threats. $RSP $SPY $IWM etc could go nowhere for 5 years while half the stocks trade down 70%, half trade up 70%.

Investor Letters

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Heico Corporation

HEICO sells FAA-approved aircraft replacement parts at 30% to 50% discounts to OEMs, gaining customers as restrictive aftermarket contracts…

HEI $42B
D Invests 13 clicks

Copper Fox Metals: Research Flash

Copper Fox’s C$9.1 million Schaft Creek program advances metallurgical, tailings, water and road studies toward a pre-feasibility study,…

TECK $31B
Atrium Research - Equity Research 6 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens ad…

APP $92BU $18B
Speedwell Memos 66 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 54 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B
TSOH Investment Research 28 clicks

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