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Sunday, November 15, 2026

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@majgeoinvesting

Maj Soueidan on X

Not if you’re one of the over 200 new 52 week lows in the NASDAQ on Friday vs. ~20 new highs. You’ll see a similar trend in many corners of the microcap world. For example, of the 153 stocks in the @MSmicrocaps quality index, there were no new highs on Friday and 7 lows. And… the index is very diversified and not overly reliant on AI stocks. Although, it’s still up 17% for the year. At @GeoInvesting, the ratio was 4 to 15 across 204 stocks on certain screens we track. The biggest point I’m trying to make is that momentum investing is a nice strategy, even during pockets of market pullbacks. Stocks that are able to hit a high in a broad market demolition in the areas I track pique my curiosity. It’s basically a way to filter out all the crap, catalyst stocks that haven’t panned out or companies that just don’t deserve to be trading at premium multiples. Obviously, you can find some nice pullback gems. Interestingly, lots of OTC microcaps we track have been relatively unscathed. Another point in favor of illiquid microcaps, like $MUEL $BURCA . The DOW & S&P have held up (no microcaps there). Right now, you’re going to be rewarded well for finding quality companies in any pocket of the market. That’s for sure. Or betting that yet another Jensen affair will be uncovered within the next seven days. Long Jensen Huang, short $NVDA.
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

Six stocks I’m still following filed Q3 numbers: → $QXO: Operating cash flow was only ~$1M in Q3, down from $213M a year ago. → Boost Run $BRUN: Says it has secured $600M of non-dilutive project financing, but a Georgia delay leaves year-end ARR near my bear case. → Reviva $RVPH: Valued at 26.5% of its cash, but needs $50-55M for its second Phase 3 trial and FDA filing. → DigiPowerX $DGXX: ~$30M short of its ~$350M 2027 capex plan, even counting the $200M loan it hasn’t closed yet. → Agility Robotics $AGLT: Down 36.1% from its first-day close, with a little over two years of cash. → FORT Robotics’ SPAC $NTWO: 82% redeemed, and its price implies 36.7x FORT’s TTM revenue. So did the quarter change my call on any of the six? That’s what I answer in my new Q3 update, including whether I’m buying, selling, or holding each name.
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

The cash flow statement adds share-based compensation back to operating cash flow, since it's a non-cash expense: the company paid its employees in shares, not cash. Over the 12 months through October 2022, Intuit $INTU had $3.81 billion of free cash flow, a 3.5% yield on its $109 billion market value. Move its $1.45 billion of share-based compensation to financing activities, and the yield falls to 2.2%. That's roughly $2.20 of free cash flow per year for every $100 of Intuit stock, not $3.50.

Investor Letters

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Intel Custom ASICs?

Intel’s custom ASIC business more than doubled last quarter as it pursues hyperscaler demand, AI accelerators and a stronger Intel Foundry.

INTC $317BQCOM $185B
Chipstrat 4 clicks

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 4 clicks
CHRW · long

C H Robinson Worldwide INC

C.H. Robinson faces new liability exposure after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed state negligent-hiring claims under the FAAAA.

CHRW $16B
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