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Friday, November 13, 2026

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Industry Primer: Alternative Asset Managers

Alternative asset managers earn durable fees on committed capital, but 2026 losses followed retail-credit redemptions, lender-fraud allegations and AI fears around portfolio software…

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Serenity on X

Just to state the nuances of my opinion: Jensen is irreplaceable to $NVDA. No other CEO can visit a chicken shop in Korea, noodle shop in Japan And rally hundred of billions of capital and supply chain commitment into Nvidia’s next technological vision. As for Nvidia: the their roadmap is intact, their existing commitment and revenues are still preserved under Jensen’s leadership. They’ll still be around 5-10 years from now, given how fundamentally important they are to AI supply chains. Under a new leader they can still continue growing if AI demand is intact and maintain their current lines. But I don’t know anyone who can possibly think that under anyone else, whether it’s Tim Cook or an accountant: That Nvidia could compound 70% capacity constrained growth Y/Y, without a leader like Jensen making these transformational bets. As for AI implications: I’m heavily bullish directionally, given AI is the most transformational technology in human history. - I expect some potential slowdown in Nvidia’s ecosystem. I don’t think an accountant can make the same aggressive level of commitments to Neoclouds or supply chains in Taiwan, Korea, Japan beyond existing architectures. Then rally the capital and trust to make it happen. - I do expect the next CEO to be more politically aligned with Washington in restricting China GPU access - I also see the next CEO being less supportive of open weight models (positive for OpenAI/Anthropic) - I’m less optimistic on $NVDA maintaining their competitive advantages against $AMD, $AVGO, and hyperscalers. One person doesn’t break the AI trade, I expect companies from optics to memory to still outperform. However, my confidence in the next leg of Nvidia’s growth, beyond their current roadmap, has been shaken without Jensen Huang.

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HKTGF · long

Hikari Tsushin INC

Hikari Tsushin compounded shareholder equity at 17% annually over 15 years while its shares declined modestly in the past year.

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

Microsoft's AI Boom Has A Cost

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48% as AI monetization accelerated, but doubled CapEx, largely for CPUs and GPUs, reduced quarterly free cash flow…

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