Monday, November 9, 2026

Big Short Investor Explains How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom rests on a handful of companies and hundreds of billions in infrastructure spending, risking recession and a sharp market correction.

ORCL $363B

Steve Eisman 17h ago 4 clicks

16h ago ETN $141B

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Value Don't Lie 2 clicks

23h ago RBLX $35B

Roblox: Capture This Moment

TSOH Investment Research 1 click

From X

@ACapitalLP Sep 23 1 click

A Capital on X

Perception <> Reality $OWL selling off on a $1bn Loparex restructuring headline, despite having already marked its second-lien exposure to 5 cents on the dollar at June 30, down from 63 cents in March. That excludes any potential equity recovery… Thx for the “gift” Bloomberg…

@junkbondinvest Sep 23 5 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

Anyone underwriting software credit should have a look at this When software buyers adopt frontier models, incumbent vendors see lower spend 43% of the time and flat spend 41%. Only 17% churn... This report (Qualitate) suggests FLAT spending is the stage BEFORE displacement. Buyers pause first w/o ripping out systems that are embedded in a company's ops. Look at $NOW...the AI-related pressure is due to its customers holding spending flat vs. leaving. If this is the case across levered software credit, we likely just grind lower across multiple A&Es w/o a clear hard default in the near-term

@aleabitoreddit Sep 23

Serenity on X

So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry: Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated: - $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially. - NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length DFB arrays, read through on higher valued products) - Demand for UHP lasers continues to exceed supply Just a status update in terms of how the optical bottleneck is going (laser prices going up, demand exceeds supply). Digitimes also reported today Win Semi ( $SIVE foundry ) was expanding capacity for CW lasers. - "CW products... are expected to gradually emerge in the second half of 2026", with meaningful revenue contribution likely coming in 2027 and 2028. - Win has strengthened inventory management for InP substrates while moving toward 6-in InP wafers for ongoing process testing. Currently relies on Tier-1 International suppliers. - Many of this was spent on DUV tools from $ASML but (Win Semi's orders spanned machinery, equipment, and fab engineering work) So that answers a lot of questions about Sivers' partner "how is this company securing InP substrates", "4in vs 6in", "production timing" TLDR: - NPO > CPO (per Lite), multi-wavelength lasers going brrr for prices - demand > supply (continuation) - Not sure why people have been bear posting Win Semi when turns out they have everything needed to mass produce CW lasers.

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

This is why I’m long $GME. Because of dumb Disney Adults. Go there sometime. It’s a bunch of adults without kids acting like children. Now these Disney adults are piling into trading cards. They are reliving their childhood because they will never have kids of their own. Even Toys R Us is reopening to target these morons. It’s turbo time.

@junkbondinvest Sep 23 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Remember during COVID, $RCL was raising debt (secured by 28 of its own ships btw) at 11% just to stay alive? Well, they just agreed to pay $3bn for Sandals, the biggest deal in its history 6 years ago, the question was whether they would still exist...how times change

@kab604 Sep 23

kab60 on X

It's always weird when analysts don't address the elephant in the room - you'd think things were going splendid at $CHTR and they were running with net cash:

@ACapitalLP Sep 23 1 click

A Capital on X

$LPLA’s customer is the independent financial advisor, not the end investor. Advisors own the client relationship. LPL provides the custody, compliance and infrastructure. The idea that Muse justifies a 7.5% selloff is perception <> reality…

@MaiusPartners Sep 22 5 clicks

Maius on X

Love it or hate it, but the $GNRC / $AMZN deal is an extremely bearish read-through for the legacy backup power suppliers $CMI / $CAT. The equivalent would be $GM coming to China and taking 20% of the market overnight from BYD.

Nextpower: Its Biggest Growth Opportunity Now Lies Outside The Trackers

Nextracker's $6 billion order book supports cross-selling battery storage and inverters, now 22% of revenue, though acquisition-led growth…

NXT $15B

Investor Overview 23h ago 2 clicks

DoorDash and Google

DoorDash and Google.

DASH $79B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 24h ago 4 clicks

Moody’s: Fasten Your Seat Belts, But Not for AI

Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than…

MCO $89B

Librarian Capital's Research Library 36h ago 1 click

Expert Call | EMIB-T Packaging, Glass Core Roadmap & 2027 ABF Substrate Supply Outlook

Intel’s EMIB-T, glass-core roadmap and 2027 ABF substrate supply outlook are the focus of an expert call.

INTC $287B

P Equity Research 40h ago 2 clicks

Procore CFO: Now we scale the business

Procore CFO Rachel Pyles discusses accelerating growth and economies of scale after an upbeat third-quarter report.

PCOR $11B

The Technology Letter Nov 7 5 clicks

Diageo: First Quarter on Dave’s Plan Wasn’t Too Drastic

Diageo’s first quarter under CEO Dave Lewis showed modest price changes and regional growth outside North America, supporting a turnaround…

DEO $57B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Nov 7 2 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Update, Part Two

Tower Semiconductor reported $526 million in quarterly revenue and extended photonics contracts through 2029, while its low-loss silicon…

TSEM $15B

CV's Substack Nov 7 1 click

Applied Materials: A Consequential Earnings Preview For The Whole Market (Rating Upgrade)

Applied Materials trades at 17.93x forward earnings, with analysts forecasting more than 45% EPS growth through 2028 and a net-cash balance…

AMAT $260B

Brett Ashcroft Green Nov 7 1 click

Earnings Review: AMD, MELI, TIC, XPEL, ZTS

AMD’s data-center revenue rose 97%, while MercadoLibre, TIC Solutions, XPEL and Zoetis also report quarterly results.

MELI $77B

Rebound Capital Nov 7 2 clicks

Marvell Technology: Against Sentiment Again - Rerating From Sell To Buy

Marvell Technology’s Google custom-silicon win and upgraded long-term guidance lift its fair value to $187.35 standalone, or $199.48…

MRVL $117B

Zbigniew Budzinski, CFA Nov 7

The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.

CRWV $27BORCL $363B

Steve Eisman Nov 6 5 clicks

Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout

Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…

OVV $17B

Bison Insights Nov 6 4 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Business Update

Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.

AXON $31B

Speedwell Memos Nov 6 4 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed

Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…

AXON $31B

Speedwell Research Nov 6 4 clicks

Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.

DDOG $65B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Moderna (MRNA) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Moderna reported $1.313bn in Q3 revenue, up 29%, and $130m in operating income versus a $260m loss, while operating cash flow was negative…

MRNA $103B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…

NET $97B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Airbnb 3Q’26: Back in Growth Mode, but Agents Still Worry Me

Airbnb’s 3Q’26 revenue grew 16% ex-FX as bookings accelerated, but consumer travel agents remain a long-term competitive threat.

ABNB $111BBKNG $122B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 6 1 click

Coherent: Selling Volume While Lumentum Sells Scarcity

Coherent sells constrained InP capacity through volume-priced modules, while a $20 billion PhotonLink agreement marks its first…

COHR $38BLITE $48B

Keyanoush Razavidinani Nov 6 4 clicks

Reddit Stock $RDDT : The Human Internet Just Got 29% Cheaper

Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…

RDDT $18B

Substack von Philipp Nov 6 4 clicks

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Monday, November 9, 2026

A Capital on X

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junkbondinvestor on X

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A Capital on X

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