Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner 35h ago 13 clicks

38h ago NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

40h ago APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 63 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital 31h ago

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK is an excellent alternative hedge short IMO to QQQ. A bit of timing to avoid the massive bubbles but way more follow through to the downside. https://t.co/jyUYhlMit4

@DeepSailCapital 31h ago 5 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK vs $SPY vs $QQQ by year. https://t.co/XEaaaCTQvL

@Mr_Neutral_Man 33h ago 2 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

@BarbarianCap 34h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Silgan to Combine With Trivium Packaging in $3.4 Billion Deal $SLGN https://t.co/XWQSkZuUO5

@BarbarianCap 34h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap 34h ago 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@BarbarianCap 34h ago 6 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Unilever Agrees to Sell Welly Bandage Business to Private-Equity Firm $UL https://t.co/yFW742mFrr

@StableBread 34h ago

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

Investor Letters

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Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives 42h ago 9 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow 46h ago 18 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $379M

Anthony Cataldo 47h ago 5 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $197BCRWD $233B

Jimmy's Journal 47h ago 24 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 16 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 33 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $362M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 9 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 13 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $36M

Capital Employed Oct 19 65 clicks

INTU · long

Intuit INC

Intuit, down 60% year to date, is the Nasdaq 100’s worst performer, ahead of declines at Workday and Adobe.

INTU $88B

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

Potential Winners And Losers From Nu Bank’s Aggressive Launch Into The United States (Ticker: NU)

Nu Bank’s U.S. launch pairs 4.5% APY and 2% cashback with fee-free USDC remittances, pressuring SoFi, Capital One and cross-border transfer…

NU $70BSOFI $19B

Emerging Moats Research Sep 16

Alphabet: Off-Grid Energy And Commercial RSI May Panic Bears (Upgrade)

Alphabet’s off-grid data centers, Verizon dark fiber and merchant TPU strategy aim to lower cloud costs and generate $84 billion to $108…

GOOGL $4.2T

Esxeleryn Analytics Sep 16 1 click

Brad Jacobs and the QXO Thesis

QXO applies Brad Jacobs’s consolidation playbook to fragmented building materials, anchored by its TopBuild acquisition and a strategy of…

QXO $11BXPO $22B

Bearstone Sep 16 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LII

Dell’s AI-server demand and Microchip’s data-center components lead updates on Cirrus Logic and STMicroelectronics, alongside a weekly…

DELL $301BCRUS $5.4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 16 1 click

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…

LIFE $2.5B

Hunterbrook Sep 15 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo, Rigetti And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo and Rigetti.

ARCC $14BGRAB $12B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 15

Li Lu Bought Crocs. Follow the Free Cash Flow (CROX)

Crocs drew Li Lu’s investment after generating $660 million of 2025 free cash flow, despite the HEYDUDE write-off, tariff pressure and…

CROX $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 15 5 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVII

Broadcom’s AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year, as Anthropic safety concerns failed to alter the projected AI compute and…

AVGO $1.6TGOOGL $4.2T

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 15

Plains GP Holdings: Deleveraging And Permian Growth Point To More Upside

Plains GP Holdings cut leverage to 3.3 times adjusted EBITDA as Permian volumes and distributions rise, while $8.44 billion of debt faces…

PAGP $5.4B

Vishal Jadaun Sep 15 1 click

Monday, October 19, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

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