Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Trevor Scott on X
@optionscjp $NFLX has historically auto cancelled inactive accounts
Trevor Scott on X
@TheRayMyers why not $MU at 6.5x?
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $487B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.3T
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M9301 $3.3B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
Berkshire Hathaway: Warren Buffett Steps Down As Chairman While Higher Rates Turn The Cash Pile Into A Bigger Asset
Berkshire Hathaway's $324.9 billion T-bill portfolio benefits from higher rates as Greg Abel succeeds Warren Buffett and BHE adds 11,000 MW…
Steven Fiorillo 
Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Palo Alto Networks posted 34% Q4 revenue growth to $3.41 billion, boosted by CyberArk and Chronosphere, while NGS ARR reached $9.1 billion…
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/18/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers organized retail crime, Home Depot’s centralized operating missteps under Bob Nardelli, and research updates on…
GENI · long Genius Sports LTD
Genius Sports, a sports data and adtech provider, is pitched as a re-rating opportunity obscured by acquisition noise.
Cerebras June 2026 Earnings
Cerebras faces shareholder criticism over $700,000 to $850,000 WSE-3 rack pricing, alleged packaging-yield losses and SRAM-based KV-cache…
Micron’s Profits Are Exploding. Is This the Top of the Cycle?
Micron’s $1.37 trillion valuation prices in durable HBM and AI-driven memory profits, despite Q3 guidance for $33.5 billion revenue and an…
Deep Fission (FISN): A Mile Deep, and Already Underwater
Deep Fission’s Blue Owl backing is a $20 million minority investment tied to a nonbinding MOU, while its June IPO raised $40 million at $16…
Weekend Thoughts: Malone’s Born to Be Wired Book; Thoughts on Cable; Is CHTR Cheap?
Charter’s $11 billion to $8 billion capex plan may not be durable as copper-network upgrades face fiber competition, while CHTR shares have…
Apollo and what even is private credit?
Apollo’s Marc Rowan argues private-credit risk depends on underwriting, seniority, leverage and diversification, not whether a bank or fund…
Precision AI
Adobe’s licensed vector data, corporate workflow integration and compliance framework could give it an edge in precision AI as frontier…
The Great RPO Illusion: Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia, and the Neoclouds
OpenAI commitments can be counted as Microsoft RPO, Nvidia revenue and neocloud backlog, layering claims on the same underlying demand.
Intuit deep dive
Intuit’s QuickBooks, TurboTax and SMB ecosystem face AI-native challengers, tax-filing disruption and pressure on payroll and payments…
Note on Fiserv CEO Change & Huntsman/Olin Merger
Fiserv fell nearly 10% after CEO Mike Lyons left for Truist, while Olin's stock-funded 0.5476-share offer values Huntsman below its prior…
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X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
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A Capital
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catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
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Clark Square Capital
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
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Negligible Capital
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Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
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RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
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- Ariel Investments
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Sectors
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