Barbarian Capital on X
Obvs starting point matter but good number of LT consumer winners The Highest-Returning Stock of the Last 45 Years Is Home Depot $HD https://t.co/MG1DLQ5QNd
NYSE
HD
4 stories
$294B Market cap · 2026-10-08
Obvs starting point matter but good number of LT consumer winners The Highest-Returning Stock of the Last 45 Years Is Home Depot $HD https://t.co/MG1DLQ5QNd
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers organized retail crime, Home Depot’s centralized operating missteps under Bob Nardelli, and research updates on…
Sector action is bizarre today --- travel/discretionary (ex amazon (who posted very lousy prime sales) are surging), housing and adjacent like furniture ($w $wsm), biotech adjacent bid ($rgen, $medp) and waste stocks ($wcn). You want to derrick micron, I get it. And I get gas prices lower, market expects to fade out rate cuts that were priced moving forward as Warsh moves to trim mean/new data versus actually being hawkish, and some impact on a name like $hd off the housing bill. But all of these things are at the margin and known leading up to today --- so why target, kbh (on relatively inline to disappointing numbers yesterday) Expedia today versus yesterday? Market moves in very funny ways recently
$GMS Underfollowed building products distributor, HSD growth, favorable mix shift/ margin, tracking to beat estimates, trading at 10x EPS, 7x EBITDA. Peers at >50% higher multiples. $HD just acquired lower quality peer SRS for 17x EBITDA. GMS = $240 or +150% at that multiple.
Companies the stories above are also about, besides HD.