A Capital on X
@leevalueroach Also potential Democratic control of the House will be bad for $GEO / $CXW
NYSE
GEO
7 stories
$3.7B Market cap · 2026-10-27
@leevalueroach Also potential Democratic control of the House will be bad for $GEO / $CXW
Geo Group $GEO sold its 3 Adelanto ICE facilities (2,644 beds) to DHS for $950M, about $359K per bed. The market currently values GEO at about $92K of EV per remaining owned bed, and that EV also includes the electronic monitoring and services businesses.
Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…
Geo Group $GEO down 8% on a massive facility sale seems kind of crazy.
@valuedrift I was watching this and $GEO rally for months and finally put the short on myself... absolutely silly up here.
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.
Letters that discuss GEO.
Companies the stories above are also about, besides GEO.