ANAB · long Anaptysbio INC
AnaptysBio is pitched for a 50% to 80% return over four to six weeks after its April 2026 taxable spin-off of R&D-heavy operations.
NASDAQ
ANAB
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$1.4B Market cap · 2026-10-21
ANAB · long AnaptysBio is pitched for a 50% to 80% return over four to six weeks after its April 2026 taxable spin-off of R&D-heavy operations.
@CFAs4CFPs @BATMongoose it was disclosed at trial that GSK tried to buy $ANAB 3 times over the last year. IMHO this is more important than whatever odds I put on the trial outcome. It seems that in all scenarios ANAB gets sold. If they win trial, the $ will be higher. If they dont it will still be fine
@FriendlyCapMgmt @thecontracap there have been some things i view as negative for $ANAB and some that are positive. but in my view in order to make this investment you have to focus on the future cashflows, not the trial.
@thecontracap also worth noting that if $ANAB loses, maybe the stock goes down but future cash flows do not. Plan B is prob just sell the royalty stream, which is why the former CFO of $RPRX was added to the BOD 4 months ago. Heads win a ton. Tails you don't lose (if you can handle the vol)
@thecontracap agree ex-CEO statements are not +. However, statements from the GSK manager responsible for managing the $ANAB collaboration make it clear he thought GSK was in violation of the agreement. Not good for either side. Think sanctity of contract law has to come above all else though
@thecontracap 2/x)on the other hand, if $ANAB's position is upheld, it sucks for GSK, but contract law as a whole in DE continues to successfully govern the land as it has for centuries prior. Not clear to me that AI can consider the gravity of dismantling all of DE contract law...
@thecontracap 1/x)$ANAB also not a lawyer but seems to me that the implications of GSK's position would be catastrophic for contract law in DE if supported by the court. Effectively, any acquiror could disavow the obligations of a purchased subsidiary. Which seems "absurd" in the legal sense.
Grt🧵on $GSK's cancer biz. But IMHO GSK cant max their ROI b/c $ANAB can block GSK from partnering w/ other PD1s like $MRK's Keytruda. Trial is 7/14 & GSK could lose 100% of JEMPERLI which IMHO is ~10% of GSK's mkt cap. I think GSK settles or buys ANAB for big $$$. Disc: Long https://t.co/N4Rls7h63Z https://t.co/04Zx6UdUwi
AnaptysBio’s Jemperli royalty receipts rise after a Sagard financing obligation ends in 2027.
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