NYSE
HHH
18 stories
$4.2B Market cap · 2026-10-22
@whatsgoingoninm $HHH is a little different. The fee structure is weird and they have a weirder collection of assets, not just a bunch of publically listed stocks anyone can buy. Though no capital returns. Still not a great structure but not as egregious as PSH.
Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…
Gary Gambino 3 clicksI did an interview on Bloomberg @business on our plans for $HHH as well as other topics. https://t.co/YMmhq2zBaz
$HHH perhaps this line from the recent proxy filing is what is causing market to move: "Discussions will include ... efforts to significantly reduce the capital intensity of Howard Hughes Communities" https://t.co/8sBEkb8X5A
The Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. ($HHH) 2026 Shareholder Meeting will take place next Wednesday September 30th at The Auditorium at 787 Seventh Ave in New York City. At the meeting, among other topics, we will discuss how we intend to accelerate the transformation of HHH to an insurance holding company by dramatically reducing the capital intensity of our Howard Hughes Communities real estate subsidiary, freeing up capital to be invested in Vantage, our insurance subsidiary. HHH CEO David O'Reilly, Ryan Israel CIO, Marc Grandisson Executive Chairman of Vantage, and I will make a presentation and address audience Q&A. Advanced registration for the meeting is required with priority given to HHH stockholders. To register, visit: https://t.co/mPPE8xiQd2
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
I see this a lot in the investing business. For example, the young fiery aggressive fund managers of the 1990s, who called out dishonest bad management, are now behaving like the companies they used to vicisouly attack. Stuff like $GLRE or $HHH.
HHH · long Howard Hughes Holdings is pitched as a long in the $60s, with a near-term $90 target and a projected 20%+ IRR.
@BillAckman Literally every asset that’s managed by you including $HHH $PSHZF and now $PSUS has always traded at a discount. Why would this one be any different?
I pasted two screenshots from $PS's 424B4. If you look at fee paying AUM, it's $16 bn excl HHH which has a de minimis mgmt fee/carry. Add in $PSUS and you are at $21 bn of fee paying AUM. $PS discloses pro forma mgmt fees of $238 mm but that is net of $91 mm of non-cash amort related to the IPO. So I'm going to give them credit for $329 mm of mgmt fees. Assuming a 65% operating margin and a 20% tax rate, that gives me effective fee paying earnings of $171 mm. $PSH.LN has a 16% incentive fee and $PS is entitled to the performance fees on the first 5% (the team gets beyond that). On $15 bn, this is $15 bn * 5% * 16% = $120 mm or $96 mm after tax. Add up the mgmt fee and performance fee share, and I get $267 mm of expected earnings or $0.67/share. Implies $PS is trading at around ~50x EPS vs. $KKR at 17x, $ARES at 20x, $BX at 21x. Of course you can layer in some minor $HHH economics and it takes down the multiple a couple of turns. But you could also layer in a few years of sub 5% returns and that takes away the performance fee too. Certainly a 50x EPS valuation is pretty common for a fast growing higher ROIC biz. But it's by no means cheap. The question is, how will Ackman raise any money from here? $PSH.LN is at a discount to NAV, $PSUS is at a discount to NAV and $HHH is at a discount to NAV. One thing that will allow $PS to grow into its valuation is great results as that will 1) scale up the earnings (as it's based on % of AUM) and 2) facilitate new investors. Another way to contextualize the valuation is to simply look at fee paying AUM of $21 bn and compare that to the equity value of $13 bn. That is pretty unprecedented in the land of asset managers but reflects in part the permanent capital and the limited float (I think its just the 20mm shares given in the IPO). Could easily see a lot of price pressure once the 380mm non-IPO related investors are free to sell.
In September I had the pleasure of attending the Howard Hughes $HHH annual shareholder meeting. I met the man himself! @BillAckman Not to get ahead of myself, but this could be the beginning of something very special. Today’s quarterly results help to reinforce my views on the quality of both the asset base and management. The company is firing on all cylinders. Management continues to execute on the MPC strategy, and an acquisition seems highly likely in the short term. However, the shares still trade at a deep discount to intrinsic value. Do I care? No—at least not yet. Pershing Square has a truly remarkable track record. Since adopting their “permanent capital” strategy they have done 23.5% net of fees annually since January of 2018. Not too shabby. I suspect they’ll be acquiring a small insurer in the 1.0x-1.4x P/B range, if that’s the case, and they continue to put up those returns, the acquisition will be monstrously accretive. When Buffett took control of Berkshire, it was a failing textile mill with a negative terminal value. Ackman is starting off with assets of much higher quality and that are beginning to generate a lot of excess cash. A lot of work has to be done, but I’m happy to hold my shares here. If you’re interested in learning more about the real estate operations, I’ve attached my $HHH report from November of 2023–obviously outdated, but should help get you up to speed on the history, RE strategy, and asset base—and I will be putting out an updated report after the details of the insurance acquisition are announced. https://t.co/ueKI0TWY9R
8/ There is a lot more to talk about (24% sequential increase in new home sales, ward village condo sales etc.) but I am hungry. So to wrap up, if you're selling $HHH on this quarterly report you do not understand what you own and I will be buying your shares at tomorrow's open.
1/ So first things first, $HHH missed on top and bottom line. Am I concerned? Absolutely not. Value was created for shareholders and I'll briefly explain why...
Here is a little pricing guide for any of you looking into $HHH at the moment. Credit to @mfwarder for the format. https://t.co/MeZP5qopmR
@marginofdanger @BillAckman Additionally, $HHH as a pure play MPC is much more valuable than the sum of its parts. Though the market doesn't understand it well at the moment it will likely come to appreciate it more as it grows and produces substantial FCF. Patience is key here.
If anyone has any questions on $HHH feel free to DM me.
For anyone interested in knowing more about Howard Hughes Holdings $HHH I've posted my write up on the company. This is not investment advice. https://t.co/a7b9FJclsp
Letters that discuss HHH.
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