Sunday, November 15, 2026

Lessons from Jensen’s scandal, and a new in-depth report (NOTW #114)

Nvidia’s alleged Jensen Huang scandal is framed as a lesson in avoiding emotional reliance on a CEO within an investment thesis.

NVDA $3.9T

Best Anchor Stocks 17h ago 2 clicks

22h ago ZTS $34B

Zoetis: ~13x P/E, But Still in the Doghouse

Librarian Capital's Research Library 4 clicks

36h ago CRWV $30B

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 6 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit 3h ago

Serenity on X

Western media coverage of $NVDA and Jensen Huang have reached a point Where it even gives Chinese people more pride in CCP state media. Very dark times for Western journalism.

@convequity 4h ago

Convequity on X

The direction is clear: mainstream meida are all pushing for a national security spy case through narratives with thin evidence. If this wokism persists and takes the lead in shaping the American AI strategy and the most important AI companies like $NVDA, the American tech leadership will be gone.

@Mr_Neutral_Man 8h ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Taking my kids on an Anthony Bourdain style Queens food crawl Dinner at Astoria Seafood - grilled scallops, cuttlefish, gulf shrimp, halibut and fried calamari $186 Baklava at Al Sham -$13 Pastry at Cafe Noisette - $18 Pokemon cards $GME - $20 My kids’ smiles - Priceless

@ACapitalLP 10h ago

A Capital on X

- $OWL private credit apocalypse vs. sustainable franchise

@ACapitalLP 10h ago

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?

@StableBread 10h ago

Fajasy on X

In 2011, share-based compensation cost the 75 companies in the S&P 500's tech sector 2.2% of their revenue on average. By 2021, it cost them 4.1%, yet 45 of them excluded it from the adjusted profits they reported. At the end of 2022, Intuit $INTU traded at 28.4x the adjusted EPS analysts expected, versus 25x for Microsoft $MSFT. With share-based compensation included, Intuit traded at 43.9x, a 76% premium to Microsoft instead of 14%.

@gnoble79 10h ago

George Noble on X

$NVDA is Enron 2.0 @GavinSBaker @altcap @jason @chamath @DavidSacks @friedberg , What do you have to say for yourself? Asking for a friend. Your analytical malpractice and blindness to criminal activity is astounding. Shame on you for aiding this fraud. Live in your integrity, instead of pumping up this garbage. Do you have any ethics? Or is it always about the money? History will not be kind to you. Despicable, just despicable. Beware tech bro.

@gnoble79 10h ago

George Noble on X

$NVDA is Enron 2.0 @GavinSBaker @altcap @jason @chamath @DavidSacks @friedberg , What do you have to say for yourself? Asking for a friend. Your analytical malpractice is astounding. Shame on you for aiding this fraud. Live in your integrity, instead of pumping up this garbage. Do you have any ethics? Or is it always about the money? History will not be kind to you. Despicable, just despicable. Beware tech bro.

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 39h ago 4 clicks

One Thing I Learned: Meta’s Ads Are About to Surpass Google Search

Meta's $63.1 billion ad revenue nearly matched Google Search's $63.4 billion as Meta grew 26% versus Search's 12%.

META $1.6T

Hayden Capital 36h ago 3 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B

Daniel Romero 37h ago 6 clicks

A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)

Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…

NBIS $32B

Cestrian Capital Research 39h ago 3 clicks

OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover

Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…

OXY $59B

Open Insights 40h ago 4 clicks

Nvidia’s Future | My Question Marks

Nvidia’s future is framed around alleged China GPU diversion, tighter export controls and supply-chain risk after Jensen Huang’s claimed…

NVDA $3.9T

P Equity Research 40h ago 4 clicks

Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $185B

Chipstrat 40h ago 4 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: We Remain At “Stop" After Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Applied Materials reported Q4 revenue of $10.4 billion, up 53%, and guided to $11.1 billion for January, but the rating remains Stop after…

AMAT $294B

Cestrian Capital Research 41h ago 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)

Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…

RBLX $36B

TSOH Investment Research 41h ago 3 clicks

Infineon Technologies (OTC: IFNNY) Stock Rating: Initiating Coverage At Accumulate After Q4 FY9/26 Earnings

Infineon’s AI data-center power-chip revenue more than doubled to €1.7bn, supporting fiscal 2027 guidance for about €20bn in revenue and…

IFNNY $71B

Cestrian Capital Research 43h ago 3 clicks

Intel: Why Didn’t We See This Coming?

Intel’s 30% stock collapse followed guidance for a more than 20% sequential Q4 client revenue decline, server CPU packaging constraints and…

INTC $317B

Vik's Newsletter Nov 4 3 clicks

Chipotle Stock: The Dip Is A Long-Term Opportunity

Chipotle plans 350 to 400 annual openings and low single-digit same-store sales growth, supported by menu innovation, international…

CMG $45B

Jake Blumenthal Nov 4

AMRZ · long

Amrize

Amrize (AMRZ) produces aggregates, cement and roofing materials across the US and Canada.

AMRZ $22B

Value Investors Club Aug 6 3 clicks

AMD Earnings Review

AMD reported $13.4 billion in Q3 revenue, with Data Center sales up 97% to $8.5 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $17 billion.

AMD $876B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 revenue of $18.1 billion, up 5%, and raised 2026 guidance as Keytruda sales reached $8.6 billion ahead of its 2028 patent…

MRK $364B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 2 clicks

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $54BMRVL $141B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

MRVL $141BLITE $54B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

Microsoft FY 1Q’27: My Confusion vs. the Market’s Certainty

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48%, but OpenAI compute may have supplied 45% of its growth, leaving Azure excluding OpenAI up roughly 31%.

MSFT $3.9T

MBI Deep Dives Nov 3 3 clicks

Enterprise Products Partners Pulled 2027 Into 2026 - Energy Transfer Didn't

Enterprise Products Partners has pulled growth spending into 2026, while Energy Transfer’s contracted projects offer clearer EBITDA growth…

EPD $83B

The Alpha Analyst Nov 3 5 clicks

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Sunday, November 15, 2026

Serenity on X

Convequity on X

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A Capital on X

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George Noble on X

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