Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis
DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
This does not read well $NVDA
George Noble on X
The collapse of $NVDA and the AI ecosystem will be truly epic. @GavinSBaker @chamath @Jason @darioperkins @DarioCpx @JG_Nuke @MichaelMOTTCM @biancoresearch
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Does the crash of Jensen’s “Bank of $NVDA” lead to a nuclear funding winter for underfunded AI neoclouds and startups?
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X
When investing in liquidations, sometimes your security stops trading and gets priced at $0.00 and you have to just ignore how it looks in your brokerage account From a 5 figure cost to $0 in my IRA NOT MY FIRST RODEO!!! $ARI P.S. This illiquidity is kind of awesome!
Investor Letters
All letters- 103 Advisory Group October 2026 AMZN $2.9TGOOGL $3.6T
- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $598M
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $134MSPSY $112M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 META $1.6TAVGO $1.6T
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $411MFNCHF $520M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.7BSN $32B
GrabAGun Q3 2026: Where Did the Cash Go?
GrabAGun’s $34 million Camfour acquisition cuts pro forma net cash to about $54 million as sales decline, losses widen and its buyback…
Nvidia and the World Without Jensen
Nvidia’s Jensen Huang resignation leaves a flat organization built around his direct control as China GPU restrictions tighten.
This Week in Special Situations: Coursera, eToro, Fluor, Trade Desk
Coursera trades at roughly $150 million enterprise value after Pale Fire Capital took 14.7%, with cash and Treasuries covering 83% of its…
Qure Anniversary Update
UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.
Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade
Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…
Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty
F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…
AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test
AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.
Quanta Services (PWR): Backlog Up 63% While Shares Fall 30%
Quanta Services' backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, with AI and power-infrastructure demand driving revenue…
Jensen Huang Resigns. Who Should Replace Him to Keep Nvidia Successful?
A hypothetical Nvidia succession scenario names Colette Kress interim CEO and favors Arm's Rene Haas or Nvidia's Ian Buck as permanent…
Petrobras: Record Earnings, Shrinking Dividends, And The Lula IV Problem
Petrobras posted record 3Q26 production and earnings, but higher investment needs are shrinking dividends as a possible Lula IV government…
Bernard Zambonin 6 clicks
SIRI · long Sirius Xm Holdings INC
SiriusXM, SIRI, combines a 32% EBITDA margin with 3.6x net leverage and a 16% free-cash-flow margin despite elevated capex.
Artificial Bloom
Bloom Energy’s AI data-center fuel-cell growth plans face scrutiny over scandium supply, with Hunterbrook alleging China dependence and…
Credo Technology Deep Dive
Credo Technology sells active copper cables for AI data centers, with revenue rising 126% then 206% as Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Oracle and…
Quick Value #322 - FuboTV (FUBO)
Fubo's Hulu Live merger leaves Disney with 70% ownership and resets its 2028 EBITDA target to $300 million; at $10, it trades at 4.2 times…
Defending the Enterprise Castle from the Model Layer
Microsoft urges enterprises to keep AI memory, evaluations and orchestration inside their tenant boundary, making frontier models…
What I've Been Reading (7/5-7/12)
Meditation Capital favors niche software companies with durable domain expertise, citing AI-driven Braze growth, Workiva’s 2030 targets and…
In Conversation: Cerebras Systems (CBRS)
Cerebras Systems sells WSE-3 wafer-scale AI chips and cloud capacity, with cloud and services rising to 43% of revenue after an OpenAI…
What Amazon Can't Buy
Betterware de Mexico sells locally designed home organizers through direct sellers in informal neighborhoods, generating 67% gross margins;…
The Mega-Cap Opportunity: Meta & Microsoft!
Meta and Microsoft are framed as mega-cap opportunities based on business quality and valuation.
Salesforce Can Lose the Interface and Still Win
Salesforce's 8.62x forward cash flow valuation discounts AI seat cannibalization, while Agentforce, Data 360 and MuleSoft aim to retain…
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