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Thursday, November 12, 2026

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From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

As with all over supply, time tends to take care of the problem. Im old enough to remember when SFH were generally thought if being in over supply forever Getting through this has taken wayyy longer than most folks imagined I’m waiting for $CPT to report. I kind of knew $MAA was gonna have tough/bad new/renewal mix I think it’s also part of their own fault where they push renewals too much
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” MAA $14B
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

We've finally made it to November... holy crap October was brutal. Per Morgan Stanley data, the recent hedge fund de-grossing was the highest in the past 10 years. Exceeding the: - 2016 Chinese stock market crash - 2018 Volmageddon - March 2020 COVID crash - 2021 Archegos collapse / Evergrande crisis - 2022 bear market Goldman's prime brokerage desk reported on the 26th that it had also seen ~$20B of selling over 2 weeks vs. $23 billion during July's entire unwind. From $HOOD short interest data, from Sept -> Oct short float also increased from: $AAOI: 12.5% -> 19.84%+ $AEVA: 11% -> 25.64%+ $CBRS: 12.25% -> 20.12%+ $AEHR: 14.33% -> 17.93%+ $TSEM: 2.15% -> 4.73%+ $CIFR: 19.94% -> 25.39%+ $LWLG: 15.24% ->19.12%+ $OKLO: 17.72% ->22.93%+ $CRWV: 17.91% ->26.58%+ Substantial deleveraging coinciding with surging short interest, kinda looks like a July setup after Midterms? The recent rotation also kinda pushed names like $CRWD and cybersecurity to bubble valuations into hundreds of fwd P/E... Earnings on many AI capex + bottlenecks (not all like $INTC) looked strong: eg. $AXTI guided annualized Q4 = 23.7x P/E now, not including potential InP substrate hikes + capacity expansion that can compress it to single digits. - $SKHY (~$59B operating profit) casually making more than trillion dollar companies like Amazon ($28.1B operating profit), backed with 5Y LTAs. - No signs of $MSFT / $AMZN materially cutting capex, while $SPCX secures $40B more for GPU procurement. Slightly painful, but I think the AI capex trade (specifically photonics/memory) is a generational opportunity, with extreme volatility in between.
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

I found no named data center or space customer, and no disclosed revenue from either, in TOYO Co., Ltd’s $TOYO filings, releases, or decks, even though its pitch increasingly mentions AI and space. The mentions are then-CEO Junsei Ryu’s November 2024 line about grid demand from “data centers, electric vehicles, and industry,” CEO Takahiko Onozuka’s May 2026 plan for a U.S. R&D center to help “power the AI economy,” a Citi $C investor webcast on space and AI on July 8, and “data-center applications” among the end markets for the ~$240M of module contracts, with no dollar split. The space pitch rests on the HJT (heterojunction) cells $TOYO plans to make in Texas. The slides CTO Dr. Aihua Wang and Chief Technical Advisor Dr. Jianhua Zhao presented at the Citi webcast priced HJT modules at $0.46/W, vs. $70-170/W for the multi-junction cells satellites use today. But HJT cells turn only 20% of sunlight into power in space, vs. 30-34% for multi-junction cells, and the same slides say efficiency matters more than cost in space, since a more efficient cell gets more power from the same payload. $TOYO’s Analyst Day deck later called the comparison “an internal technology evaluation” and “not a disclosed business line.” Rhone Resch, $TOYO’s Chief Strategy Officer, still told analysts that “every single data center that goes up in space is going to be solar powered.” Data centers and space add no disclosed revenue today, and none of my valuation cases counts new business from either, which, if you were being optimistic, makes them a free option on a cell technology $TOYO doesn’t yet produce.

Investor Letters

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Sea Ltd Earnings Update: Q3 2026

Sea Ltd reported Q3 2026 revenue of $8.6 billion, up 43.4% year over year, while net income rose 34.0%.

SE $45B
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 6 clicks

Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…

ABNB $108B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Research update

S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…

SPGI $138BICE $101B
Global Outperformers 3 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXV

Quanta Services’ backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, while AI power and data-center construction demand…

PWR $88B
Monte Independent Investment Research 2 clicks

No title

SpaceX’s $24 billion Starbase power plant, Microsoft’s Oracle capacity cuts, Riot’s $72 billion AI lease and Quanta’s sell-off frame…

PWR $88BORCL $399B
Monte Independent Investment Research 3 clicks

Insider activity October 2026

Asian insider buying reached $2.9 billion in October, the highest since 2018, with South Korea and Thailand leading.

BKRKY $23B
Asian Century Stocks 2 clicks

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.

ETN $140B
Value Don't Lie 3 clicks

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