Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
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From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
Scale across means linking data centers that are physically apart, so it requires switches and architecture that are extremely reliable and consistent. This becomes more important as training runs get bigger and inference spread out across distributed data centers. $ANET win in this market
Asif Suria on X
Maybe Jensen will mount a comeback the way @vishal_better did with $BETR It would be surprising if the board decides to oust him from $NVDA. What would this mean for the greater AI bubble with all the circular financing and such.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
I’m looking to short a lot of shitcos if they run here: $RGTI $IONQ $ACHR $QBTS just look at my Shortlist for names.
Deep Sail Capital on X
$QNT in Dec 1 Lockup. It trades at an insane valuation of 300 P/S as the market share count doesn’t count the economic interests currently not converted by Honeywell and Others.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
$SHLS & $ARRY Merger / Short Report Review
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $597M
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $134MSPSY $111M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7.3BHUT $7.5B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $429MFNCHF $530M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.5BSN $32B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $71MPLT $95M
WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon
WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…
Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…
A Call with Cogent ($CCOI) CEO Dave Schaeffer: Data Centers, the $700M Refi and Life After T-Mobile
Cogent expects to replace roughly $100 million of T-Mobile payments ending in 2028 through cost cuts and high-margin on-net sales, while…
My largest position is now a healthcare stock with 195% upside to my target
An unnamed healthcare company became the portfolio’s largest position at 8%, with a $130 target implying 195% upside despite broken…
TransMedics: 2027 Setting Up To Be A Pivotal Year
TransMedics targets multi-organ transplant growth through 2027 trials, OCS Kidney and European expansion after Q3 revenue rose 41% to $203…
Conviction Queue 
I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.
Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…
Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)
Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…
Alan Sumler 1 click
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…
Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
YOU · short Clear Secure INC
Clear Secure's Clear Plus subscription business is nearing maturity despite recent bookings strength, supporting a short thesis on YOU.
Booking Holdings: A 15% EPS Compounder at 17x Earnings
Booking Holdings generated $9.1 billion in 2025 free cash flow and targets 15% annual EPS growth, trading at 16.8x forward 2026 earnings.
Under The Hood, HCA Healthcare - $HCA
HCA Healthcare generated $75.6 billion of 2025 revenue and an 18.9% ROIC, pairing hospital-market scale with expanding margins and lower…
The Tag That Outlived the Trust
Bimini Capital Management has been mislabeled a mortgage REIT across major data platforms since it lost REIT status in 2015.
An Open Letter to the TPL Board
Texas Pacific Land shareholders urge two board additions, data-center expertise, and capital spending beyond mineral royalties toward…
Single Stock Spotlight #7: XPEL, Inc. (XPEL)
XPEL's paint-protection-film sales accelerated to 13% growth in 2025 as inventory resets eased, with margin recovery targeted after…
Software Continued
Microsoft, SAP, Oracle, Adobe and Intuit generate 90.2% of listed IT software net income, with 32.8% EBIT margins.
Linking RCM Technologies to a Multibillion-Dollar Hyperscale Buildout
RCM Technologies is providing engineering services to Cipher Digital, whose 3.4 GW contracted and pipeline capacity implies more than $20…
The $FTAI Report Cost Me a Fortune. The $APP Report Taught Me a Lesson
A custom AI agent monitors Muddy Waters reports, calls investors with target tickers, and pairs fast alerts with filing-based checks of…
Our Q1 2026 Letter & Look Ahead: Oil, Iran, OXY & PTON
Open Square Capital’s Q1 2026 letter discusses the oil market, Iran, Occidental Petroleum and Peloton.
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
