The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.
Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.
Here is a link to our Q1 2024 letter. https://t.co/mVYPJrgCr1 $SWI $IMXI $ALTG $GENI $RTO $RCM $SLCA @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson
Meanwhile disintermediation by OEMs going direct is accelerating. See recent commentary from partners $CSCO, $PANW $DELL, etc. $PLUS has zero discernable benefit from $NVDA and AI.
Answer: aggressive revenue booking, financing sales, selling products at/ below cost to boost revenue and hoping to “then try to build it back up over time” per CEO. Contrast $PLUS performance w competitor and industry leader $CDW.
$PLUS Numbers don’t add up. 50% sales $CSCO product (sales -13% MRQ, guided -11%). MRQ $PLUS sales +13% (reported yesterday). Earnings call question: “OEM Cisco have talked about bottlenecks, weak orders. You’ve been unscathed…how are you outperforming the market significantly?”
$EXLS Highly innovative founder-CEO rapidly taking share w AI-based services. High-teens topline growth w expanding margins, higher value-add mix to attractive end-markets. 17x P/E yet to reflect business transformation. 100% FCF to buybacks. Winning customers from $ACN $DXC $WIT
Props to @HedgeyeRetailJM and @HedgeyeRetailRW for a bang up job on this $CVNA short deck. The rabbit hole is indeed deep on this one. Accounting here is squirrely to put it kindly. @SECGov should be investigating Carvana to save honest believers from getting hurt. Even if they're not, we are...
$GMS Underfollowed building products distributor, HSD growth, favorable mix shift/ margin, tracking to beat estimates, trading at 10x EPS, 7x EBITDA. Peers at >50% higher multiples. $HD just acquired lower quality peer SRS for 17x EBITDA. GMS = $240 or +150% at that multiple.
Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…
AMD's Q3 revenue rose 45% to $13.4 billion as data center reached $8.5 billion, 64% of sales, driven by EPYC and Instinct ramps.
Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.
Moderna reported $1.313bn in Q3 revenue, up 29%, and $130m in operating income versus a $260m loss, while operating cash flow was negative…
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…
Airbnb’s 3Q’26 revenue grew 16% ex-FX as bookings accelerated, but consumer travel agents remain a long-term competitive threat.
Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…
Nvidia has committed capital to customers, compute providers and AI startups, tying investments, capacity purchases and rent backstops to…
Rocket Lab faces Neutron delays, Iridium acquisition dilution and cash burn despite expected 66% Q3 revenue growth, leaving RKLB priced for…
Dynatrace reported 17% Q2 revenue growth but flat new ARR and lower profit and free-cash-flow guidance, following its $816 million Arize…
Coherent sells constrained InP capacity through volume-priced modules, while a $20 billion PhotonLink agreement marks its first…
Arm reported Q2 revenue of $1.443 billion, up 27%, as licensing rose 50% while royalties grew 8%; Q3 guidance calls for $1.54 billion.
Intel’s data-center revenue rose 80% to $7.3 billion as AI-agent workloads lift server CPU demand, but Intel 3 wafers and advanced…
EQT becomes the largest U.S. natural-gas producer after acquiring Range Resources, with takeover speculation centered on Berkshire Hathaway…
Marvell’s Lumentum acquisition targets optical networking demand as AI data centers shift from copper to lasers, expanding its hyperscaler…
AppLovin's 3Q26 revenue rose 55% year over year and margins reached 78.2%, driven by AXON model gains, while publisher bidding pressure…
Interactive Brokers faces earnings pressure from an AI-driven market downturn and lower rates, while customer growth and product expansion…
Blue Owl Capital's NAV rose to $14.32 as buybacks and portfolio marks improved, while OBDC trades at a 25% discount despite a 0.33%…
AppLovin’s Q3 revenue rose 55% year over year as AXON model gains expanded margins, while ad take-rate compression remains the key…
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.