Thursday, November 5, 2026

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)

UBER $147B

SA Luca Socci Nov 5 4 clicks

The hyperscalers (almost) always win

Amazon’s AWS grew 39.3% with roughly 39% margins, while retail unit growth and lower cost to serve expand its delivery network’s reach.

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

Array Technologies And Shoals Merger Creates Upside Potential

Array Technologies and Shoals Technologies plan to merge, targeting cross-selling and cost synergies as ARRY's order book holds firm and…

ARRY $715MSHLS $1.5B

SA Caffital Research Nov 5 3 clicks

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

STRL · short

Sterling Infrastructure INC

Sterling Infrastructure short pairs STRL against EME and FIX, arguing data-center sitework contractors lack the margin upside available to…

The Mega-Cap Opportunity: Meta & Microsoft!

Meta and Microsoft are framed as mega-cap opportunities based on business quality and valuation.

Salesforce Can Lose the Interface and Still Win

Salesforce's 8.62x forward cash flow valuation discounts AI seat cannibalization, while Agentforce, Data 360 and MuleSoft aim to retain…

July NPO/CPO Update: Stupidity Singularity

Nvidia shifted its optical interconnect plan from TSMC CPO to Tower Semiconductor NPO, increasing laser requirements that favor Lumentum…

Matan on Stitch Fix

Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…

Deep Dive: Amazon (Updated)

Amazon’s AWS grew 28%, with a $364 billion backlog, supporting the case that up to $200 billion of annual AI capex can earn solid returns.

Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market’s 483-store fresh-food format combines dedicated distribution, curated assortments and long-built site selection,…

Three Tempting Ideas with Major Caveats

Molson Coors trades at 6.2x free cash flow and offers a roughly 15% shareholder yield, but declining beer volumes could make it a value…

The King Bleeds, Long Live The King

Nvidia's Groq deal responded to OpenAI's Cerebras inference partnership, preserving its AI-chip lead through supply-chain control and rapid…

MercadoLibre: Valuation Model

MercadoLibre’s sum-of-the-parts model values commerce and payments on FCFF, credit on equity returns, producing a $1,980 base-case target…