Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $287B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $287B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Sep 19

Barbarian Capital on X

Obvs starting point matter but good number of LT consumer winners The Highest-Returning Stock of the Last 45 Years Is Home Depot $HD https://t.co/MG1DLQ5QNd

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

@RodAlzmann I did think $CASH was interesting, I have heard about $GDOT before, Rod I admire your work and think your a good analyst could you give the quick elevator pitch?

@ACapitalLP Sep 19

A Capital on X

“Hey honey, Trump signed a deal with Greenland. I’m going to get ahead of everyone by buying Greenland Energy stock on my Robinhood account. It’s a sure thing!” You absolutely fade this. $GLND is so far from commercial production it’s a joke. Retail will pump it because it has “Greenland” in the name. This isn’t anything like the situation with $KYIV, an established business that has generated hundreds of millions of dollars of FCF, with a potential Ukraine peace deal as additional upside optionality…

@BlueDuckCap Sep 19

BDC on X

Irony to me at this point is that 1.) "frontier" LLMs will need to stay on the spend cycle to maintain frontier status but 2.) at the same time everything behind the frontier will get commoditized - and that will be like 99% of the applications. 3.) $META has a big advantage on consumer agentic bc they can scale it via their consumer app monopolies 4.) Here's where everyone might disagree but $SNAP actually is a more strategic asset thus.

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

$BMBL looking past GAAP accounting like a 1x Owner's Earnings multiple, not shrinking fast, executing turnaround strategy and optimizing for quality over quantity. Founder back, paying off debt more than doubles the equity. Which the FCF says they can do. https://t.co/6byxo2vb8s

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

$JRVR ~4x multiple. Below adjusted book of circa $6.68 per share, activist, E&S is a good niche, mgmt rationalizing for economics. This one has messed up bad many times in the past and probably deservedly has a horrible reputation https://t.co/CD2VZ19KO0

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

$ARKO Trading below the value of it's stake in $APC, transferring to asset light business model, targeting 10% dividend https://t.co/kDZ2zPoIkm

@calvinblissett Sep 19 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

$ADMA Profitable small cheap biotech with 3 FDA approvals accelerated stock repurchase plan https://t.co/jVbFVNKBA5

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $371B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $268B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $14B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 2 clicks

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $363M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $193B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3BWGO $903M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $106B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

One Stop Systems grew Q3 continuing-operations revenue 36% to $12.6 million, raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $45 million, and used $11.8…

OSS $117M

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 1 click

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $13B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $195B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

IAUX $1.2BHTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

An Interview with Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar About the AI Religious War

Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar argues AI diffusion and systems engineering matter more than model-building, and explains forward-deployed…

PLTR $429B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 28 1 click

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $24B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2BPAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

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Thursday, October 29, 2026

Barbarian Capital on X

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A Capital on X

BDC on X

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Calvin Blissett on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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