Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@TimelessArie Ticker is $INVH for those curious

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

More $CUBE news Sold 80% to Heitman in a JV valued $197mm at a roughly mid 5% cap rate and used proceeds to buy back better assets like those in NYC in that 6.3% to 6.5% cap rate range Improves quality and sell non-core at lower cap rate than higher quality assets Retains management and builds annuity mgt fee stream

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

I have consistently talked about buying $CUBE in the past year and highlighted their incredible NYC/NNJ portfolio It accounts for 1/4 of the company's NOI, up 5.5% in Q3 on a YOY basis. Moves the needle. Overall NOI up 2.1% YOY High barrier, no rent regs like housing, truly a great asset NOI declines mostly in Sunbelt high supply markets Story is as old as time Bought at a rough 6.7% cap about a year ago at $36 ish now $41.08 plus about $2.12 in dividends since Not too shabby for a 20% one year return for buying a high quality SS with low leverage

@BarbarianCap Oct 29

Barbarian Capital on X

Roblox Narrows Loss as User, Engagement Metrics Fall The video-game company said average daily users were down 9% to 138 million, and engagement hours fell 15% to 34 billion. $RBLX https://t.co/KQM4qbpsbd

@ACapitalLP Oct 29

A Capital on X

$FSLR interesting here at ~7–8x 2027 earnings with 44GW of contracted backlog. Q3 bookings at ~$0.36/W were largely negotiated pre-232, while management is already quoting higher prices on new business. Think the first meaningful post-232 contracts will be particularly informative as to normalized earnings power and ultimately where this should trade…

@orrdavid Oct 29

David Orr on X

$PURR https://t.co/yeJJ2cHVeE

@convequity Oct 29 1 click

Convequity on X

We wouldn’t be surprised to see GPU rental revenue reach $100bn per gigawatt a year. Nebius ($NBIS) has already reported a short-term deal in the $40m–$50m per MW annualised range. That is $40bn–$50bn per GW. Likewise for Space $SPCX and others while $CRWV sold its long term capacity too early at low prices. Use 660,000 Blackwell GPUs as a simplified 1GW case. With every GPU-hour rented: • $50bn a year = $8.65 per GPU-hour. • $100bn a year = $17.30 per GPU-hour. DeepSeek reports $38 of API revenue per GPU-hour at off-peak prices for a V4.1 Flash cluster. Peak tariffs are double. Serving the same workload at those prices would imply $76 per GPU-hour. For an inference provider that can reproduce those economics on rented hardware, a move from $5–$6 rent to $9 can still be affordable. Even roughly $18 need not make the service uneconomic. Suppose another provider achieves 70% of that $38–$76 revenue benchmark across its rented GPU-hours. That gives $26.60–$53.20 of revenue per hour. After $18 of GPU rent, $8.60–$35.20 remains for other costs and profit. The condition is matching DeepSeek’s serving efficiency on the rented hardware and sustaining paid demand at those token prices. Releasing the inference code does not guarantee either. For operators that can do this, we think there is room to keep bidding up scarce GPU capacity, even at twice today’s roughly $9 hourly rate.

@finphysnerd Oct 29

Myles on X

Rough day to have large positions in $AMZN and $RDDT. Comfortable holding Amazon. Am out of Reddit.

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $208B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BPYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $196B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

HTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

SPSC · long

Sps Commerce INC

SPS Commerce, SPSC, runs a network software platform that lets retailers, suppliers and 3PLs exchange supply-chain and trading information.

SPSC $3.1B

Value Investors Club Jun 8

ServiceNow: When SAAS Meets AI = Opportunities

ServiceNow targets $30 billion in FY2030 revenue and a Rule of 60+ as it expands premium agentic AI offerings and consumption-based pricing.

NOW $110B

Open Insights Aug 28

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

RBLX $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 7 clicks

StandardAero: Largest Independent Aerospace Engine Aftermarket Firm

StandardAero’s exclusive engine licenses and LEAP aftermarket position underpin a projected rise in LEAP revenue from $100 million in 2025…

SARO $7.7B

Latticework by MOI Global Aug 28 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (08/28/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup tracks Dick’s Sporting Goods’ Foot Locker setback and Brown-Forman’s internal debate over a potential Pernod Ricard…

DKS $13B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 28

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $160B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 9 clicks

QXO Inc.

QXO is building a North American construction-products distributor through Beacon, Kodiak and TopBuild, targeting $18.1 billion of combined…

QXO $12B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Aug 28

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2.6B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

UK Primer: The Equity Revival

UK equities trade at decades-wide discounts to developed-market peers as improving sentiment, capital reform and foreign M&A support a…

ARM $220B

Aurelion Research Aug 27 2 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.3B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 2 clicks

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

A Capital on X

David Orr on X

Convequity on X

Myles on X

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