Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@red_dog_capital Oct 2 1 click

Red Dog Capital on X

$STK $WDC The cure for high prices is high prices! Demand destruction, substitution, capacity additions, etc. The invisible hand (almost) never fails!

@TidefallCapital Oct 2

Trevor Scott on X

@the_zack_zhu isn't $U skimming this model data here now?

@TidefallCapital Oct 2 3 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

$FICO CEO made more comp than $NVDA CEO the past 3 years. Lansing will be fired within 90 days and be immortalized in MBA case studies as the CEO who figured out how to blow up a government mandated monopoly. https://t.co/oyjbp6o9ma

@ACapitalLP Oct 2 1 click

A Capital on X

History will be kind to me for I intend to write it. $OWL https://t.co/J0bP2zt3CO

@kab604 Oct 2

kab60 on X

@CurryorNothing @JerryCap Isaacman could roll his stake, get rid of skittish public mkt investors, lever up to take advantage of the downturn across fintechs and then flip his stake down the line to a strategic when narrative has changed. That's what I'd do. Fiserv, $GPN - everyone in the penalty box. .

@kab604 Oct 2 1 click

kab60 on X

@CurryorNothing @JerryCap It's an easy PE target. Can run with higher leverage and take advantage of bombed out fintech sector, international story just starting to play out. And there's the non-zero chance $GPN is gonna $GPN when stock has re-rated.

@kab604 Oct 2

kab60 on X

@fundingregime @aurelius28 "It's a quagmire when you look at it just from the outside in because there's not that many providers in this space. So you would think there'd be a lot more pricing power than there is ... I just don't see pricing being a mechanism where it'd be like a 2% to 4% grower"- $FIS CEO

@kab604 Oct 2

kab60 on X

@fundingregime @aurelius28 $JKHY mngmt is pretty conservative (and company best-in-class). Their guidance suggests HSD revenue growth + expanding margins despite large investments. I can conjure up all kinds of negative scenarios (based on price action), but I don't see any evidence of that.

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $208B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

PYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $196B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Nebius: Why I Loaded Up During This Crash

Nebius secured $4.275 billion in credit facilities and trades at 3.8 times projected 2027 sales, with an AI credit crunch its main…

NBIS $42B

Infinity Curve Oct 29

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $110B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 1 click

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $102B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

An Interview with Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar About the AI Religious War

Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar argues AI diffusion and systems engineering matter more than model-building, and explains forward-deployed…

PLTR $429B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 28 1 click

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $24B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

ORCL Update

Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…

ORCL $383B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

PAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker

Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…

CBRS $24B

Shallow Dives Oct 28 4 clicks

Danaher’s robotics era

Danaher’s new CEO paired a Q3 beat and raised EPS outlook with a 2027 4%-5% organic-growth starting point, while pitching AI-enabled…

DHR $163B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Thursday, October 29, 2026

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