Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
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Monday, October 26, 2026

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Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…

EQT $34BRRC $11B
Bison Insights 7 clicks

From X

@convequity

Convequity on X

$NVDA is in a bind. In our view it needs enterprise AI adoption to grow quickly, but a typical enterprise cannot afford Nvidia's GPUs and does not have the resources to build and run an Nvidia stack directly. So enterprises take the cheaper and more manageable option and access AI through the hyperscalers. They skip the large upfront cost, and they can run inference on the hyperscalers' custom ASICs, or at least have that option versus Nvidia's GPGPUs. In our view, those ASICs are the more efficient inference choice where a hyperscaler offers them. To curtail that, we think Nvidia would have to cut GPGPU prices sharply enough to make direct enterprise adoption realistic. That means lower margins. Dell ($DELL) was supposed to be the way around the bind, a channel that puts Nvidia compute in front of enterprises that will not build the stack themselves. We think Dell has mostly used the relationship to secure GPU supply and grow its own revenue and margins, not to open the smaller enterprise market Nvidia needs. Palantir ($PLTR) is still the exception on enterprise AI adoption, not on buying Nvidia compute directly. Its US commercial revenue grew 149% year on year last quarter, accelerating from 133% the quarter before. Outside Palantir and coding agents, we see little enterprise success. The bind stands. Direct enterprise adoption of Nvidia compute is still progressing very slowly, and we do not see a way out that leaves margins where they are.
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

Pretty crazy Reuters piece on the global selloff. - October 22 marked the 1st time since the COVID crash that long/short, systematic, and multi-strategy hedge funds tracked by Goldman Sachs ALL lost more than 1% in a single day. - Tech-focused hedge funds: down ~10% in October - Asia-focused hedge funds: down ~9% in October There’s separate interviews where Citadel/JP Morgan have been saying retail has been the ones buying the dip in semiconductor, neocloud, and memory stocks. And the stocks bought by most retail were $NBIS, $SNDK, and $TSM. Reuters stated this downturn triggered institutional deleveraging events among hedge funds. Quite the divergence, I do think there’s been a ton of irrational selling now, hedge fund deleveraging seems to be a major contributor.

Investor Letters

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Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

MOH $11B
Bearstone 6 clicks

“Our Strategy Is Unchanged”

Netflix’s $51 billion FY26 revenue outlook and global streaming scale underpin its core strategy as management addresses slowing…

NFLX $511B
TSOH Investment Research 7 clicks
DLTR · long

Dollar Tree INC

Dollar Tree is long after divesting Family Dollar, separating its stronger banner from its weaker business.

DLTR $25B
Value Investors Club

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $19B
CV's Substack 9 clicks

Deep Dive: $ASML

ASML’s €230 million EUV machines underpin advanced AI chip production, with demand booked through 2028 after nearly $9 billion and two…

ASML $616B
Rebound Capital 8 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $83B
Doomberg 9 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $30B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 12 clicks

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