Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $964MNU $73B

Ian’s Insider Corner 18h ago 10 clicks

22h ago AXP $215B

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

Librarian Capital's Research Library 2 clicks

31h ago PM $314B

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Invariant 10 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Oct 23

Raging Capital Ventures on X

$ASTS market cap today: $16 billion https://t.co/TVBwjYUiu6

@KEDM_COM Oct 23 3 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Turning Point Brands $TPB CEO Graham Purdy unexpectedly resigned for personal reasons, with Executive Chairman David Glazek taking over as CEO. TPB also tightened FY26 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $70-80m from $70-90m, assuming no margin benefit from U.S. manufacturing onshoring until 2027 and continued elevated freight costs. Shares down 13%. TPB remains one of the few plays on the growth in nicotine pouch consumption (a KEDM theme).

@gnoble79 Oct 23

George Noble on X

Thanks my friend. $CRWV is also a zero. https://t.co/U7PIMg8X3k

@absreturnchaser Oct 23 4 clicks

absreturnchaser on X

Is Western Union $WU shopping a takeover offer they have received? @jfineman @laurenthomas @mroliverbarnes @DNair5 @bharringtonw11

@DeepSailCapital Oct 23

Deep Sail Capital on X

$CRDO - Others have tried this already. $MRVL and $BDCM have offered merchant AEC DSPs for years. A cheaper merchant DSP hasn’t broken the integrated model so far. Credo’s moat is the system not just the DSP. Credo owns qualification, SerDes, AEC patents, ETC which allow it to keep the full cable end to end. It has deep relationships with five hyperscalers and growing engagement with neoclouds. Anyone that knows the market knows $MXL might try to get a piece of the market but unlikely to get a material piece.

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 23 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Could’ve bought the 7.2% $PSA preferred with half of the money at the peak The annual dividend would be $1.0 mm which would be about $362k more than the current balance $1 mm per yr forever https://t.co/S4Erg9tZYf

@negligible_cap Oct 23 7 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

*INSTACART EXPLORING A SALE: INFORMATION Sale could value $CART at $16 - $17B and they've had preliminary talks with $DASH and $UBER

@leevalueroach Oct 23 6 clicks

Lee Roach on X

How are these $META SPVs literally named after donuts? What in the actual fuck lmaooooo?

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.5B

Cannibal Stocks 38h ago 13 clicks

Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3

Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…

AVTX $658M

Myriam Alvarez 38h ago 2 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $19B

CV's Substack 42h ago 8 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $23B

P Equity Research 47h ago 7 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4BMQ $2B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 68 clicks

Deep Dive: $ASML

ASML’s €230 million EUV machines underpin advanced AI chip production, with demand booked through 2028 after nearly $9 billion and two…

ASML $616B

Rebound Capital Oct 24 8 clicks

Netflix's Apocalypse Fears Overly Done - Cash Cow With Renewal Prospects

Netflix pairs international engagement, free cash flow and buybacks with plans for double-digit revenue growth, margin expansion and larger…

NFLX $511B

Juxtaposed Ideas Oct 24 8 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $96B

Doomberg Oct 24 9 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

AMAT $301B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 2 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $34BTSLA $1.5T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 28 clicks

JBFCY · long

Jollibee Foods CORP

Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.

JBFCY $2.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 27 1 click

Ares Capital: This 10%+ Yield Is An Undervalued Buy

Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…

ARCC $13B

Jonathan Weber Oct 24 4 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 12 clicks

DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors

DOCN $12B

Star Investments Oct 23 9 clicks

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…

BE $56B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 8 clicks

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $314B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 2 clicks

Amazon’s Trainium Takes a Strike at the Training King

Amazon’s Trainium3 adds native PyTorch training support, targeting CUDA-trained researchers with standard APIs, eager mode and…

AMZN $2.8T

SemiAnalysis Oct 23 7 clicks

Alphabet: Gemini 4 Argon Is Coming For ChatGPT's Lunch

Alphabet's Gemini 4 Argon aims to undercut rival AI models using proprietary TPUs, while Android, Siri and Google Cloud distribution…

GOOGL $3.9T

Dustin Quasney Oct 23 3 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $34B

Net Interest Oct 23 10 clicks

Spotify 3Q’26: Built for the Background

Spotify's third-quarter results met or exceeded guidance, with 306 million Premium subscribers and €672 million operating income, while…

SPOT $108B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 23 3 clicks

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Raging Capital Ventures on X

KEDM.com on X

George Noble on X

absreturnchaser on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Negligible Capital on X

Lee Roach on X

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