Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

NU $73B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Oct 25 AXP $211B

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

Librarian Capital's Research Library 3 clicks

Oct 25 PM $314B

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Invariant 13 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

SpaceX closes $40 billion debt deal for AI chips, Elon Musk says $SPCX https://t.co/VElSKttyze

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

AstraZeneca Readies New Portfolio of Targeted Cancer Therapies $AZN https://t.co/9wErSW0T14

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 3 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

9/n $CME CEO with @tracyalloway @TheStalwart on futures, swaps, prediction markets, and perps. Nice contrast to the "anything goes" policies, and nice contrast to their episode last week with the Hyperliquid guy (link to prior round up at the bottom) https://t.co/miODfdAS9E

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

6/n @bizbreakdowns @ReustleMatt is back! This time covering $AFRM. BNPL very underpenetrated, several growth products, "bet the jockey" too. https://t.co/i7Pr6Mr3r4

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

2/n $CRWD CEO on @NoPriorsPod things got bleak last week on that front, will get worse https://t.co/cJfAoomQ8V

@aleabitoreddit Oct 25 6 clicks

Serenity on X

Just another $40B going into the "AI Infra" Bubble... Elon stated this $SPCX financing would primarily fund $NVDA GPU procurement H1 2027. Which indirectly increases demand for memory, networking, etc needed. In some other notes, VPEC today in UDN: "InP substrates is seriously in short supply" in regards to suppliers like $AXTI. - Morgan Stanley believes that InP substrates, EML and CW lasers will be the primary bottlenecks - VPEC emphasized that whoever can secure more raw material supply in the future will have greater pricing power and influence in the market. Very true about supply procurement... both upstream materials like epiwafers/substrates to ultimately compute. We're in a volatile period where all your largest companies in the world are fighting over control of the future of AI infrastructure. Any slowdown seems unlikely.

@OddDiligence Oct 25

Odd Diligence on X

$IREN chart* is most 🔥 of all the neoclouds resulting from all the slick marketing they are doing good job @danroberts0101 * chart of "IREN" Wikipedia unique page views https://t.co/xWEj1dJUf7 https://t.co/xsb9Z62J1I

@TidefallCapital Oct 25

Trevor Scott on X

@wealthyfranklin you can buy csu at the same growth rate for half the multiple of $NOW when factoring in after tax SBC.

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $19B

CV's Substack Oct 24 10 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $23B

P Equity Research Oct 24 7 clicks

Deep Dive: $ASML

ASML’s €230 million EUV machines underpin advanced AI chip production, with demand booked through 2028 after nearly $9 billion and two…

ASML $631B

Rebound Capital Oct 24 8 clicks

Netflix's Apocalypse Fears Overly Done - Cash Cow With Renewal Prospects

Netflix pairs international engagement, free cash flow and buybacks with plans for double-digit revenue growth, margin expansion and larger…

NFLX $511B

Juxtaposed Ideas Oct 24 8 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $83B

Doomberg Oct 24 10 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

Applied Materials targets AI-driven demand for advanced logic, DRAM and packaging, supported by services revenue and operating leverage…

AMAT $314B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 2 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $30BTSLA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 28 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $30B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 12 clicks

DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors

DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…

DOCN $11B

Star Investments Oct 23 9 clicks

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…

BE $56B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 9 clicks

QXO · long

QXO, Inc.

QXO, led by Brad Jacobs, is consolidating North America’s fragmented building-products distribution industry after rapidly building scale…

QXO $11B

Value Investors Club Apr 30 4 clicks

Ally Financial: The Next Vintage

Ally Financial's Q2 FY26 consumer auto originations rose 21% to $13.3 billion as newer, 9%+ yield vintages replace troubled 2022 loans;…

ALLY $12B

TSOH Investment Research Jul 27

Weekend Digest 351: Market Volatility, TFSL, Roper, Booz Allen, TIPS Vs. Treasury Bonds

AI momentum trades are unwinding as leveraged products amplify volatility; TFS Financial offers a 7.5% yield on cost and potential upside…

ROP $43B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jul 26 1 click

Philip Morris International: Juggernaut

Philip Morris grew Q2 cigarette volumes 1.1%, revenue 9.8% and gross profit 11.5%, while IQOS retained Japan leadership despite…

PM $314B

Invariant Jul 26

Texas Instruments 2Q'26: Not Another Head Fake

Texas Instruments’ 2Q’26 revenue grew 23% year over year and 13% sequentially, supporting management’s view that pricing and demand have…

TXN $260B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 25 2 clicks

TSMC could spend $10B more on N2 capacity. Why won’t they?

TSMC’s N2 ramps at record pricing while 34-36% CapEx, versus 53% in 2021, raises questions about its long-term AI-demand outlook.

TSM $2.3T

Chipstrat Jul 24

Alphabet: Jam Tomorrow, But Never Jam Today

Alphabet’s Q2 EBIT rose 24.8% excluding one-offs as Search, YouTube Ads and Cloud grew, while higher AI capex drove a 6.9% share drop.

GOOGL $3.9T

Librarian Capital's Research Library Jul 24

Netflix: Deep Dive Analysis

Netflix's Q3 guidance points to sub-12% growth as viewing hours rise about 2%, increasing reliance on pricing, paid sharing and advertising.

NFLX $511B

Hated Moats Jul 24

The Neoclouds Series, Part 1: Nebius

Nebius opens a series arguing Nvidia-backed neoclouds absorb the debt and construction risk of AI data centers while driving GPU demand.

NBIS $43BNVDA $5.1T

Kakashii's Materials Jul 24

Netflix: Below forward 20 PE Ratio for one of the best companies in the world

Netflix trades below 20 times forward earnings despite $51 billion in revenue, 31.5% guided operating margin and ad revenue expected to…

NFLX $511B

Substack von Philipp Jul 24

Sunday, October 25, 2026

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