Friday, October 23, 2026

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix, French bonds and housing.

CRWV $30BTSLA $1.5T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 28 clicks

Oct 23 CRWV $30B

Our Views on CoreWeave

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 12 clicks

Oct 23 BE $56B

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Cestrian Capital Research 9 clicks

From X

@convequity Sep 2

Convequity on X

Snyk is a clean postmortem for what happens when a security tool lives inside the coding agent’s loop. The product was mostly scan-and-warn. Find the issue, comment on the PR, suggest a fix. Blocking the merge usually sat in GitHub, not in Snyk. Bigger platforms smothered it. $PANW, $CRWD, and Wiz pulled AppSec into the bundle the CISO was already buying. GitHub was the main developer surface and put scanning where the code already lived. Then coding agents arrived and delivered the final blow. A lot of that scanning became something the agent could just do. Growth held up for a short while after the COVID/cloud tailwind. Then it decelerated hard. This is the same lens we use in Convequity’s SaaS Agentic Survival Evaluation Framework. The PANW, CRWD, and FTNT reviews go up on Convequity in a few days.

@BlueDuckCap Sep 2

BDC on X

@evanspiegel Unless you want to shut down Specs, you will need more capital for it because the current version will not be a mass market commercial success. I would look to raise minority equity for Spec's via a strategic partnership. Possibly with a frontier lab. FL's lack hardware. SNAP lacks an A.I. deal (Perplexity fell through). Get it done. Save $SNAP.

@leevalueroach Sep 2

Lee Roach on X

@sophieanalytics Sweet thanks. Haven't dug much in $WY yet. Just been doing $RYN. So WY doesn't do much HBU?

@leevalueroach Sep 2

Lee Roach on X

Timber companies are a hard asset and low risk way to play the datacenter boom. $RYN $WY https://t.co/YElT0VT8R9

@negligible_cap Sep 1

Negligible Capital on X

*DELL SEES FY ADJ EPS $25.25 TO $25.75, SAW $17.65 TO $18.15 The $DELL earnings / guide is absolutely wild FY27 EPS guided at $25.5 at the midpoint when the buyside expectations were at around $22 (street was only at $18.4). And to think Dell was at one point a consensus short on memory pricing exposure. Servers are booming. Holy DELL

@BrokenMoats Sep 1

Broken Moats on X

$QXO finally in my valuation zone, acquired shares this afternoon. Rates present a challenge, soft commodities surging and geopolitical could further stress inflation/yields but you usually do not get deal when everything is firing on all cylinders

@TidefallCapital Sep 1

Trevor Scott on X

$FFH.TO finally overtaking $MKL on P/B (M2M value not included) "Fairfax currently has roughly $5 billion of excess fair value over carrying value in its associate and market-traded consolidated holdings—about $250 per share pre-tax." - @VikingVan100 https://t.co/fjSNi41Xaj

@KEDM_COM Sep 1

KEDM.com on X

JDP Capital @Jeremy_Deal is quite bullish on Cerebras Systems $CBRS, which is currently trading 50% below its post IPO peak. According to the Fund, given its revenue under contract, the stock could be more than $1,000 per share within the next few years vs. today's $186. Another take from the Q2 letter: “Drug discovery may be one of the largest beneficiaries of AI of any industry on earth as the companies with the most proprietary data and the deepest clinical histories will widen their advantages”. JDP’s new position in this field was Eli Lilly $LLY.

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $314B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 3 clicks

Amazon’s Trainium Takes a Strike at the Training King

Amazon’s Trainium3 adds native PyTorch training support, targeting CUDA-trained researchers with standard APIs, eager mode and…

AMZN $2.7T

SemiAnalysis Oct 23 7 clicks

Alphabet: Gemini 4 Argon Is Coming For ChatGPT's Lunch

Alphabet's Gemini 4 Argon aims to undercut rival AI models using proprietary TPUs, while Android, Siri and Google Cloud distribution…

GOOGL $3.9T

Dustin Quasney Oct 23 3 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $30B

Net Interest Oct 23 12 clicks

Spotify 3Q’26: Built for the Background

Spotify's third-quarter results met or exceeded guidance, with 306 million Premium subscribers and €672 million operating income, while…

SPOT $108B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 23 3 clicks

Big Tech Will Spend More on AI This Year Than Walmart Sells

Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft plan nearly $800 billion of AI infrastructure spending, testing whether incremental returns can stay…

GOOGL $3.9TMSFT $4T

Ezra's Notes Oct 23 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

ALLY $12BMTCH $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 4 clicks

Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN) Stock Rating: HOLD After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Texas Instruments reported Q3 revenue of $6.06 billion, up 28%, with 47% operating margin and Q4 guidance above seasonal norms; Cestrian…

TXN $260B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 7 clicks

Tempus AI: Moderna's New Cancer Vaccine Partner Is The Pick Of The AI Biotech Bunch

Tempus AI targets $1.6 billion of 2026 revenue through AI diagnostics, data licensing and cancer-testing partnerships, with Personalis…

TEM $13BMRNA $98B

Edmund Ingham Oct 23 4 clicks

Putting bear cases to rest

Medpace authorized $1 billion of buybacks through 2028 after Q3 revenue rose 8.5% to $716 million; service revenue grew roughly 12% as…

MEDP $18B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 23 14 clicks

Lockheed Martin Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Lockheed Martin's Q3 missile sales rose 24% on PAC-3, THAAD, GMLRS and PrSM ramps, lifting Missiles and Fire Control backlog to $142.5…

LMT $140B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Industry Primers Podcast: Natural Resources Royalty & Streaming, Part One: The Story

Franco-Nevada, Wheaton and Texas Pacific Land built royalty and streaming businesses by buying fixed shares of mines and wells, tracing the…

FNV $47BWPM $57B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 23 4 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $10B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 4 clicks

It’s time to sell the winners again as Western Digital, Bloom report outstanding results, shares drop

Western Digital and Bloom Energy fell after strong quarterly results, extending the selloff in AI-linked stocks.

WDC $143BBE $56B

The Technology Letter Oct 22 5 clicks

Sharp Tech on Video: Netflix Angst, the End of the Internet, and Meta’s VR Glasses

Sharp Tech launches on video, covering Netflix, the internet’s future and Meta’s VR glasses.

NFLX $511BMETA $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 22 1 click

OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case

Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration,…

CRDO $28B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 22 5 clicks

Field Trip: AI Has to Be Seen to Be Believed

Seattle AI users report major productivity gains and expect firms to shift from OpenAI and Anthropic toward owned hardware, supporting…

NVDA $5.1T

Aurelion Research Oct 22 15 clicks

Lam Research Q1 FY6/27 Earnings Review

Lam Research reported $8.22 billion in Q1 FY6/27 revenue, with systems up 62% and operating margin reaching a record 40% as memory spending…

LRCX $301B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 22 4 clicks

Meta 3Q’26: Healthy Core, But Investors Spooked by Potential Funding Ambitions

Meta’s ad revenue grew 26% to $63.1 billion, but negative free cash flow and $135-145 billion of capex raise concerns over AI funding and a…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 22 3 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

CEG $96B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 22 2 clicks

Friday, October 23, 2026

Convequity on X

BDC on X

Lee Roach on X

Lee Roach on X

Negligible Capital on X

Broken Moats on X

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KEDM.com on X

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