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Sunday, October 11, 2026

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@BlueDuckCap

BDC on X

From the $TOI Q4 call: “That’s actually a very important question and something that we continue to try to drive clarity with our investors on, which is the MA rate cycle and sort of pressure that you’ve seen health plans and full risk, medical groups that are getting a percent of premium face is actually a tailwind for TOI.Our top line Medicare Advantage reimbursement is not a percent of total premium. It’s not impacted by risk adjustment. In fact, pressure on the top line for payers generally causes them to reach out more proactively when it comes to seeking opportunities to provide great care for their patients and good access while also driving improvement in utilization. And so from that perspective, that actually helps our growth. So we tend to get lumped into some of those macro issues with payers, but I just want to make it very clear that, that is actually probably a good thing for TOI.”
@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Dispersion trade creating opportunities of fundamentals not matching price: $FDS now higher than the before SaaS (apocalypse) took off. Hard to argue they are not one of the most disrupted names across data services / software $PAYC $PCTY $WDAY - same challenges across software names and pricing / seat pressures. These names also face heavy increased competition from Rippling $EXPE - Hotels going direct has already started and OTAs should see supply pressure and take rate pressure $RNG - Does anyone legitimately believe they're an AI play? Agents don't need calls, don't need phones, and you don't need RNG to provide those agents - especially as every sb and up software provider and crm/erp Many others across software but also in financials, industrials and consumer
@convequity

Convequity on X

Kimi K3 open source just made local frontier inference a different game 1.56TB download. 2.88T total / 104B active. Recommended: 64-chip supernode. Individual users are effectively locked out of running the new frontier open-source models at home. The only realistic path left is hoping Apple’s M7 Ultra with Thunderbolt-based RDMA can handle it — and that still depends on memory pricing from Samsung/SK Hynix/Micron or whether Washington lets Apple source from CXMT/YMTC. The bigger shift is on the enterprise side. If you run K3 on an NVL72 rack without stuffing the batch with enough concurrent users, your inference cost can easily run 5x+ versus an API provider that aggregates queries. Most companies will need an orchestration layer that either: - pools multiple user requests in real time, or - parks non-urgent demand for overnight runs to maximize hardware utilization. That reality makes GPU rental structurally more attractive than buying and operating the iron yourself. Which is an uncomfortable implication for $DELL’s enterprise GPU server business. Curious how many enterprises will actually choose to run models at this scale on-prem without sophisticated batching. The economics are no longer obvious.
@convequity

Convequity on X

Rocket Lab just won its biggest launch contract ever: $266 million from the U.S. Space Force The deal covers 12 guaranteed suborbital test launches (with options for 6 more) for missile-defense work. First flight no earlier than the end of 2026, mostly from a brand-new Rocket Lab site in Alaska. This locks in real multi-year defense work and a new U.S. launch site. Solid backlog signal for $RKLB — and exactly why we keep the position in the Convequity portfolio.

Investor Letters

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Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3B
Capitalist Letters 7 clicks

A temporary glitch?

Coupang’s November 2025 cybersecurity breach tests whether a selloff is temporary despite its 28% Korean e-commerce share, 14 million-plus…

CPNG $27B
Asian Century Stocks 10 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.6B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks
G · long

Genpact LTD

Genpact operates workflows AI is designed to automate and can deploy AI across its existing operations.

G $6.2B
Value Investors Club 1 click

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