Saturday, October 10, 2026

Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money

Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier and MGA fee income.

HIPO $931M

Substack von Philipp Oct 10 8 clicks

Oct 9 GLNG $4.6B

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks

Oct 9 AMD $887B

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) Stock Rating: Hold Into Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Cestrian Capital Research 5 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Jul 28

Raging Capital Ventures on X

$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4

@convequity Jul 28

Convequity on X

Rubrik’s quiet edge in the agentic era As enterprises deploy autonomous AI agents, the real constraint is becoming governed access to trusted data — not just more models. $RBRK’s Annapurna is building exactly that layer: indexing unstructured data in place, preserving Zero Trust controls, and turning the backup estate into a secure, queryable foundation for AI. In a world where agents can move fast and break things, the company that already owns the governed copy of enterprise data is well positioned.

@convequity Jul 28

Convequity on X

The complacency is the point. Gas-directed rigs are still only in the low-to-mid 120s and the trend remains essentially flat. Turbine lead times run 3–5 years and the major OEMs are already sold out into 2029–31. Data-center announcements are loud today, but the actual incremental gas draw from behind-the-meter and new generation does not hit the system until the turbines arrive and the sites come online. That lag is why the market can keep treating gas as abundant through 2026–27 even as the structural deficit builds. When the convexity shows up, it will likely arrive later and harder than most are pricing. $EQT, $AR, $CRK

@mavix_leon Jul 28 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG has exercised a Call Option for the acquisition of the remaining stake of 24 % of the share capital in its Slovenian IoT subsidiary Shelly Tech. The total purchase price for the 24%-stake under the exercised Call Option is EUR 0.9 million. https://t.co/qlSBzPVtnU

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

I pitched $ORCL at $285 as a short last October at my conference. Now at $120 think it is intriguing as a long… https://t.co/8QB7O3VSoH

@RagingVentures Jul 27 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@retaox The $CHTR broadband offering is much more competitively priced today due to tech upgrades, limited pricing increases in recent years, aggressive retention incentives, and investments into the video/wireless bundle.

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Shorted a bunch of $AAPL and bought puts over last few days. Seems very overbought (was it a funding short?) and at a good level to find resistance. Edge AI models should ultimately be good for $AAPL, but company still has grossly mismanaged the AI opp and memory is a headwind.

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

The capex spend is mind boggling, but I held my nose and bought $META today around $590-600 I don’t how the AI bet will shake out, but I do know that… - $META Reels is sucking up engagement share from everyone, even $NFLX - $GOOG search refers are in free fall, which should benefit $META’s ad network - Zuck is the best owner-operator in the business who is willing to pivot if necessary - There are tremendous AI cost efficiency opps in core $META operations (Note: I have a long and fruitful history with $META and my family members still own their shares going back to 2013, knock on wood)

Investor Letters

All letters

BREAKING: Muse Growth Slows as Downloads Fall

Meta’s Muse saw downloads fall 8.1% week over week, while daily user additions slowed 62.4% to about 74,000 in early October.

META $1.8T

Hunterbrook Oct 9 3 clicks

Synopsys (NASDAQ: SNPS) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE Ahead Of Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Synopsys moved to Distribute after Q3 revenue rose 42% on Ansys, while organic growth was 7% and the stock traded at 11.1 times trailing…

SNPS $90B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 9 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/09/2026)

Paramount Skydance’s debt-heavy Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, streaming bundle pricing and alcohol-industry diversification anchor…

SKYD $10BWBD $78B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 9

Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…

BXSL $6.6B

Rubicon Associates Oct 9 1 click

Consumer agents: an ethics race, a prisoner’s dilemma, and the obvious OTA short

Consumer agents create an ethics race among AI labs and a prisoner’s dilemma for retailers, with online travel agencies framed as an…

EXPE $36BBKNG $123B

Yet Another Value Blog Oct 9 4 clicks

Alphabet: The Search Engine Everyone Wrote Off Is Now Building the AI Economy and takes the lead in LLM´s again?

Alphabet pairs 17% Search growth, 82% Cloud growth and 500,000 weekly Waymo rides with a $195–205 billion AI capex plan.

GOOGL $4.2T

Substack von Philipp Oct 9 2 clicks

Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model

Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…

HY $524M

Calvin Blissett Oct 9 4 clicks

AppLovin: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy Following The Recent Pullback

AppLovin's Ads Manager targets middle-market e-commerce advertisers as Q3 guidance calls for 47% sales growth, while legal and compute-cost…

APP $92B

Jack Elias Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $4.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 3 clicks

GoDaddy: The AI Transition Is Messy, But I'm Still Buying

GoDaddy’s Airo bookings run-rate rose from $10 million to $50 million in one quarter, but legacy Applications & Commerce declines still…

GDDY $13B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Oct 9 2 clicks

BNTC · long

Benitec Biopharma INC

Benitec Biopharma's BB-301 gene therapy is in a Phase 1b/2a trial for an ultra-rare muscular dystrophy.

BNTC $295M

Value Investors Club Jul 12

Deckers: A 9% Earnings Yield With Q2 Approaching

Deckers trades at 11x forward earnings with $1.6 billion cash, no debt and aggressive buybacks, as HOKA growth and UGG profitability…

DECK $12B

TQP Research Oct 9 5 clicks

What If Pabrai Had Just Sat on His Ass? Every Idea He Ever Bought, Held Forever.

Mohnish Pabrai’s 69 quarterly filings are rebuilt into a never-sell portfolio, including Horsehead, Berkshire, Alphabet, Ferrari and…

MA $541B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 9 6 clicks

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.7B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 6 clicks

Boyz in the Hood

Robinhood’s AI agents, 24/7 equity trading and 10:1 crypto perpetual futures encourage higher retail trading velocity, leverage and…

HOOD $91B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 8 2 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Note

Namib Minerals posted H1 adjusted EBITDA of $19.0 million, up 76%, as higher gold prices offset lower production.

NAMM $54M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 8 3 clicks

Lowe's: Patience Can Be Rewarded With Environment Unlikely To Worsen (Upgrade)

Lowe’s trades at 15x earnings after a 23% decline, with weak housing and high rates pressuring growth while inventory discipline supports…

LOW $111B

Seeking Profits Oct 8

The Uranium Cycle Is Turning Up: In Conversation with YCA & Cameco

Yellow Cake and Cameco say U.S. utilities have contracted only 40% of 2030 uranium needs, setting up a new contracting cycle as…

CCJ $36B

Aurelion Research Oct 8 3 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

STZ $22BGEO $3.6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

LEN $18BMRP $3.6B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

Saturday, October 10, 2026

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