Saturday, October 3, 2026

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW Louisiana data center.

META $1.9TMS $285B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Oct 2 LEN $17B

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

Oct 2 META $1.9T

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/02/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 1 click

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

@catechwilliams Nov 13 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 6 1 click

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $110B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $35B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $233B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 2 clicks

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $43B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

Anthropic spent $2.75 per revenue dollar in 2025 and committed $518 billion to compute, while AI debt at CoreWeave, Oracle and data-center…

AVGO $1.6T

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 1 2 clicks

Regeneron And Sanofi Announce A Win-Win Collaboration Expansion

Regeneron and Sanofi expanded their antibody partnership, giving REGN $1 billion upfront, up to $7 billion in milestones and a 50:50 global…

REGN $83BSNY $97B

ONeil Trader Oct 1

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Nvidia argues A100, H100 and B200 GPUs retain value beyond five-year depreciation schedules, reviving comparisons with the 1960s…

NVDA $5.2T

Cassandra Unchained Oct 1 8 clicks

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

META $1.9TDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $39B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $48B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $15B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $12B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 2 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $12B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 2 clicks

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $33BCBRS $33B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1

Occidental Petroleum: Great Inventories To Ride Lower Structural Capex In The Industry

Occidental Petroleum could benefit as declining shale inventories and high rates curb industry capex, tightening oil supply against demand…

OXY $62B

Gen Z Investor Sep 30

Saturday, October 3, 2026

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