Saturday, October 3, 2026

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW Louisiana data center.

MS $294B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Oct 2 LEN $18B

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

Oct 2 NKE $51B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 7

Lee Roach on X

Growth investors who bought Nike $NKE at a 0.05% free cash flow yield at the peak. https://t.co/onptAiCXtu

@leevalueroach Sep 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

@JacobWolinsky Yeah it was so hyped I didn't even bother to read it. Might read it now that $NKE is crashing.

@leevalueroach Sep 7 3 clicks

Lee Roach on X

I remember back in the day all of the growth investors and VC dorks were talking up this book so much. It was literally the Bible for growth investors. But now that $NKE is in the dumps and the stock has cratered I don't see anyone diving in here trying to buy this company on the cheap. But I guess when it had a 1% free cash flow yield that was all good.

@leevalueroach Sep 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

When does McDonald’s $MCD become a buy? I estimate $100 billion of real estate here on a $180 billion market cap and $220 billion enterprise value. Trades at like 15x EBITDA. I usually look at small companies but some of these larger ones are looking interesting. https://t.co/RnRauvu28K

@leevalueroach Sep 6

Lee Roach on X

There will be a point where I just slam my nuts on the table and buy $LULU. Too much hate. The more you guys hate it the better a contrarian signal. https://t.co/bZvCjLOkvk

@ACapitalLP Sep 6 3 clicks

A Capital on X

$FLEX pre-spin interesting in $100-$105 range.

@leevalueroach Sep 6 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

This chart is looking sexy. Seems like a great contrarian bet. I could see an activist coming in. Seems like a good fit for Sycamore Partners. $NKE. https://t.co/RZUxUyL7AN

@ACapitalLP Sep 6 1 click

A Capital on X

Post $LEG acquisition, $SGI seems interesting here. I understand the bedding trough could last longer, but what’s the real downside? Industry volumes are already below the GFC trough, the company is growing EPS despite the environment, and now you layer on immediately accretive LEG + significant self-help. What am I missing?

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $125B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

ServiceNow: Still A 'Strong Buy' As AI Revenues Gain Traction

ServiceNow expects AI annual contract value to reach $1.5 billion by year-end, with assist-pack consumption pricing supporting growth…

NOW $145B

Jetstream Research Oct 2 1 click

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $267B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 2 clicks

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $84BABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $38B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $49B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

HOOY: A Hold For The YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF

YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF pays high weekly income from Robinhood volatility, but return-of-capital distributions and a 0.99%…

HOOD $98B

Ivan Gaddari Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $16B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $12B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 2 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 2 clicks

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $38BCBRS $39B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) Stock Rating: Move To Distribute After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Near-Peak Margins And The Iran War

Chevron moved to Distribute at $204 after Q2 free cash flow reached $18.1 billion on $104 Brent, with near-peak margins driving supernormal…

CVX $430B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 2 clicks

POSCO Holdings: A Resource Conglomerate Still Priced Like A Distressed Steel Mill

POSCO Holdings trades at a 78.6% P/B discount as lithium, gas and trading profits reshape the steelmaker, while capex and lithium prices…

PKX $17B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 30

Saturday, October 3, 2026

Lee Roach on X

Lee Roach on X

Lee Roach on X

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