Thursday, October 1, 2026

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Oct 1 AVGO $1.7T

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

The Monetary Matters Network 4 clicks

Oct 1 NVDA $5.5T

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Cassandra Unchained 9 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 2

Negligible Capital on X

Seeing chips and infrastructure not moving after the $DELL print https://t.co/kTujCU7OWT

@pennycheck Sep 2

⚽️📡 on X

153 Million IDs stolen - confirmed The largest data leak in history Assume your info is stolen. The small basket of human ID verify should see a bump off this but I think most direct beneficiary maybe $GEN who owns lifelock as well as a the entire full suite of consumer facing cyber security solutions.

@convequity Sep 2

Convequity on X

Snyk is a clean postmortem for what happens when a security tool lives inside the coding agent’s loop. The product was mostly scan-and-warn. Find the issue, comment on the PR, suggest a fix. Blocking the merge usually sat in GitHub, not in Snyk. Bigger platforms smothered it. $PANW, $CRWD, and Wiz pulled AppSec into the bundle the CISO was already buying. GitHub was the main developer surface and put scanning where the code already lived. Then coding agents arrived and delivered the final blow. A lot of that scanning became something the agent could just do. Growth held up for a short while after the COVID/cloud tailwind. Then it decelerated hard. This is the same lens we use in Convequity’s SaaS Agentic Survival Evaluation Framework. The PANW, CRWD, and FTNT reviews go up on Convequity in a few days.

@leevalueroach Sep 2

Lee Roach on X

@sophieanalytics Sweet thanks. Haven't dug much in $WY yet. Just been doing $RYN. So WY doesn't do much HBU?

@leevalueroach Sep 2

Lee Roach on X

Timber companies are a hard asset and low risk way to play the datacenter boom. $RYN $WY https://t.co/YElT0VT8R9

@negligible_cap Sep 1

Negligible Capital on X

*DELL SEES FY ADJ EPS $25.25 TO $25.75, SAW $17.65 TO $18.15 The $DELL earnings / guide is absolutely wild FY27 EPS guided at $25.5 at the midpoint when the buyside expectations were at around $22 (street was only at $18.4). And to think Dell was at one point a consensus short on memory pricing exposure. Servers are booming. Holy DELL

@BrokenMoats Sep 1

Broken Moats on X

$QXO finally in my valuation zone, acquired shares this afternoon. Rates present a challenge, soft commodities surging and geopolitical could further stress inflation/yields but you usually do not get deal when everything is firing on all cylinders

@TidefallCapital Sep 1

Trevor Scott on X

$FFH.TO finally overtaking $MKL on P/B (M2M value not included) "Fairfax currently has roughly $5 billion of excess fair value over carrying value in its associate and market-traded consolidated holdings—about $250 per share pre-tax." - @VikingVan100 https://t.co/fjSNi41Xaj

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

META $1.8TDASH $81B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

HOOY: A Hold For The YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF

YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF pays high weekly income from Robinhood volatility, but return-of-capital distributions and a 0.99%…

HOOD $107B

Ivan Gaddari Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

Meta Is Undervalued With Muse As A Catalyst

Meta's Muse AI agent is presented as an early monetization catalyst, while heavy CapEx is framed as a moat despite near-term cash flow…

META $1.8T

Andres Cardenal, CFA Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $11B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 3 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $40BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1 1 click

The Next Consumer is a Computer

Meta’s Muse illustrates how persistent AI agents shift compute from per-query to per-user, driving heavier GPU, CPU and memory demand.

META $1.8TNVDA $5.5T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 30 6 clicks

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) Stock Rating: Move To Distribute After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Near-Peak Margins And The Iran War

Chevron moved to Distribute at $204 after Q2 free cash flow reached $18.1 billion on $104 Brent, with near-peak margins driving supernormal…

CVX $409B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30

Micron (NASDAQ: MU) Stock Rating: Hold After Q4 FY8/26 Earnings - No Change To Rating

Micron reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $54.2 billion, up 379%, and guided Q1 revenue to $61.5 billion.

MU $1.2T

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture And More

Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture and nine other lesser-covered stocks make up Seeking Alpha’s Undercovered Dozen.

VICR $14BACN $130B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 30 4 clicks

Why AMD Is the Most Overhyped Chip Stock | Ben Pouladian on Meta’s Muse, Anthropic IPO, & Semis

Ben Pouladian argues AMD’s Helios racks cannot match NVIDIA GPUs’ fungibility and financing appeal as agentic AI shifts the bottleneck to…

AMD $1TNVDA $5.5T

The Monetary Matters Network Sep 30 4 clicks

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $31B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 2 clicks

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

The Case for Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta’s Enterprise Platform creates a third-party compute outlet, reducing the cost of overbuilding AI infrastructure while adding…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 29 1 click

Joby Vs. Archer: The Race Is No Longer About Who Certifies First

Archer Aviation's Insitu, Wisk and SkyGrid acquisitions add military and drone revenue, cutting FAA-certification dependence and leaving…

BA $152B

The Alpha Analyst Sep 29 2 clicks

Thursday, October 1, 2026

Negligible Capital on X

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