Thursday, September 10, 2026

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Sep 10 TDG $61B

TransDigm is still in it for the money

scuttleblurb 1 click

Sep 9 META $1.7T

First Impression of Muse

MBI Deep Dives 4 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Aug 28 2 clicks

David Orr on X

Market already confirming this idea. $GOOG $AMZN $MSFT up since that beat. "Neoclouds" should be big winners too. I prefer to bet on the proven big, scale advantaged operators. But if the neoclouds are much cheaper per unit of compute, they could be the better risk adjusted return.

@orrdavid Aug 28 1 click

David Orr on X

$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.

@ChrisCamillo Aug 28 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@Kcon2026 didn’t miss that. i was long calls going into $NVDA earnings. my comment was about other investors making outsized bets long or short based mostly on vibes.

@orrdavid Aug 28 2 clicks

David Orr on X

@taobanker $LULU's quality drop was like a bit worse every year, kind of hard to notice. And then all of a sudden...

@leevalueroach Aug 28

Lee Roach on X

Well looks like I’m going to get another chance to buy PayPal $PYPL as the market losses its entire ass because the buy out fell through. Back of envelope math here is $42.6 billion EV on $6 billion of free cash flow is a 14% free cash flow yield. Not bad! Growth hogs will piss their pants and cry about how there’s little growth.

@kab604 Aug 28

kab60 on X

Hey fuckers, there's a better option around, and you can have it for cheap $GPN https://t.co/Ao4JowHEsG

@ChrisCamillo Aug 28

Chris Camillo on X

@SkillJoyed you have any idea how much money that would’ve cost me, having capital sitting in $TTWO since $100! in ‘22?

@ChrisCamillo Aug 28

Chris Camillo on X

@SiltasInvest been trading GTA releases and $TTWO since ‘99

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…

UNP $161BNSC $71B

scuttleblurb Sep 9 3 clicks

Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Dell’s Q2 revenue rose 57.7% to $47.0 billion and RPO tripled to $132 billion, but its stock trades at 32 times unlevered pretax free cash…

DELL $366B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 9 1 click

Dyne Therapeutics Remains A Buy Even As Novartis Trial Failure Hits DM1 Class

Dyne Therapeutics fell 16% after Novartis’ HARBOR failure raised doubts that RNA-targeting biomarker gains translate into functional…

NVS $268B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 9 1 click

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 6 clicks

Qualcomm: Data Center Revenue To Reach $15 Billion In 3 Years

Qualcomm targets $15 billion of data-center revenue by FY2029 through AI accelerators, custom ASICs, Arm server CPUs and hyperscaler wins.

QCOM $203B

Khaveen Investments Sep 8

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…

TRV $79BAIG $39B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 6 clicks

UBER 2026-09-07

A quick update on Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.

UBER $145B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 7 5 clicks

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

PEP $182B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 7 clicks

Check Point Software: AI Could Change The Growth Equation

Check Point Software’s AI-centric cybersecurity platform could lift revenue growth to 10%, supporting a $166 intrinsic value estimate…

CHKP $14B

Hong Chew Eu Sep 7

FTAI · long

Ftai Aviation LTD

FTAI Aviation, valued near $23 billion at roughly $226 per share, is presented as a long investment.

FTAI $20B

Value Investors Club Jun 11

Disney: Fairly Valued, Market-Like Returns

Disney grew revenue 7% as buybacks and margins support earnings, but premium valuation, debt, rates, competition and legal risk point to…

DIS $177B

The J Thesis Sep 8

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026

U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…

AMZN $2.7TCOIN $51B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 6 2 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive: Not A No Brainer

AppLovin is down 48% YTD after its first guidance miss, with revenue 1% below expectations and EPS 2.5% short, reviving fears of an adtech…

APP $104B

Capitalist Letters Sep 6 6 clicks

Amazon’s AI Economics

Amazon combines AWS AI infrastructure, model-company stakes and retail automation, with AWS targeting $1 trillion in annual revenue over…

AMZN $2.7T

Modern Value Investing Sep 6 7 clicks

Credo's Selloff Is Missing The Bigger AI Opportunity

Credo's 115% revenue growth to $479 million supports its shift from AEC cables toward AI connectivity, with optical products expected to…

CRDO $33B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 6

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers…

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 5 8 clicks

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Meta’s free model strategy lifted OpenCode token share from 25% to 40%, building coding-data feedback loops and reducing reliance on…

META $1.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 5 2 clicks

Everspin Technologies: The Teledyne Deal Is Validation, Not Revenue

Everspin's Q2 revenue rose 42% and gross margins exceeded 50%, while Teledyne's $40 million defense agreement depends on milestone purchase…

TDY $28B

Sam Mancini Sep 5

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.7T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 17 clicks

Thursday, September 10, 2026

David Orr on X

David Orr on X

Chris Camillo on X

David Orr on X

Lee Roach on X

kab60 on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 159

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors