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AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens auction take rates.

APP $88B

Speedwell Research 1h ago 6 clicks

4h ago ASML $660B

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

MBI Deep Dives 3 clicks

6h ago MRVL $241B

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

scuttleblurb 7 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap 14m ago

Negligible Capital on X

$CRWV CDS spreads hit new highs today, pricing in over a 60% chance of default within the next 5 years per bbg https://t.co/ABpSnUk8az

@AsifSuria 26m ago

Asif Suria on X

For a minute today, I was excited that Mattel $MAT was up today because of the potential acquisition by Authentic Brands or the toy company Zuru. But then I looked over at Hasbro $HAS and it was also up nearly 4%. Feels like everything non-AI is up 4% to 5% today. Part of my Mattel article from last night:

@BrokenMoats 41m ago

Broken Moats on X

$Z nearing a 20% reversal from yesterday's low around midday to now.....

@stockgutter 43m ago

SG on X

Reminder: $KSPI has nothing to do with KOSPI https://t.co/E9XdtsYHS5

@valuedontlie 2h ago

Colin King on X

$GME up 50% since this post as insiders scoop up shares hand over fist https://t.co/uKFkMe6jep https://t.co/peHc0ImMzs

@AsifSuria 2h ago

Asif Suria on X

@RAMCOCAPITAL That is exactly where I landed! I can see how this would appeal to Buffett even if Greg couldn't get his head around it. Although like the $SNOW IPO, maybe it was someone else who made the decision.

@convequity 2h ago

Convequity on X

We think the market is pricing in too steep a growth slowdown for $AVGO. In Q3 FY26, Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue reached $16.7 billion, roughly 56% of its $29.6 billion total revenue. In the same quarter, AI revenue grew 221% year over year, compared with 86% for total revenue. As AI accounts for more of the business, it has a greater influence on consolidated growth, so models that assume Broadcom's growth must slow each year risk missing this change. Our valuation work suggests that the market is pricing in revenue growth of approximately 66% in FY26 and 62% in FY27, followed by a 20% compound annual growth rate in years three to seven. Our view is that this assumes growth slows too quickly. Our base case gives more weight to the customer pipeline and management's outlook for the AI business. On that basis, we estimate Broadcom's total revenue could grow by 100% in FY27, compared with the 62% the market implied, with growth remaining well above the market's assumptions as we approach 2030. We increased Broadcom's portfolio weight from approximately 2.2% to 3.4% because we think the market underestimates both how fast Broadcom can grow and how long that growth can last.

@finphysnerd 2h ago

Myles on X

@stockgutter The only problem I see with this is that $SKHY is trading at such a premium to hynix that even if the Korean listing stabilises, you could get killed on a reversion to fair value here.

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AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

AVAV $6.3B

Melissa Tucker 7h ago 2 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $21B

TSOH Investment Research 8h ago 15 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.3BVAL $5.9B

Cannibal Stocks 9h ago 16 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

TSMC reported excellent Q3 results, guided Q4 revenue growth higher and saw its shares slip despite strong AI-driven earnings momentum.

TSM $2.3T

Cestrian Capital Research 9h ago 4 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $103B

Yet Another Value Podcast 26h ago 82 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Nvidia’s Ian Buck says CUDA’s software ecosystem, GPU flexibility and annual Vera Rubin upgrades lower token costs as agentic AI pushes…

NVDA $5.5T

Key Context by Tae Kim 19h ago 3 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $33B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 19h ago 3 clicks

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $247B

Blake Winiecki 24h ago 3 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $62B

P Equity Research 25h ago 17 clicks

The Tesla Story Is Falling Apart, And A Flying Roadster Won't Save It

Tesla’s Q2 revenue rose 26%, but operating margin fell to 1.4% and free cash flow was negative $1.1 billion as valuation reached 215x…

TSLA $1.4T

Julia Ostian 26h ago 4 clicks

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.7B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 2 clicks

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $38BCBRS $39B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1

FTAI Aviation Deep Dive

FTAI Aviation is converting retired CFM56 jet engines into 25-megawatt data-center generators, supported by a $1.465 billion order likely…

FTAI $17B

CV's Substack Oct 1

Occidental Petroleum: Great Inventories To Ride Lower Structural Capex In The Industry

Occidental Petroleum could benefit as declining shale inventories and high rates curb industry capex, tightening oil supply against demand…

OXY $62B

Gen Z Investor Sep 30

Momentum walks away from Micron Technology but cash is king

Micron Technology beat profit and revenue expectations by double digits for a second straight quarter, but its fiscal fourth-quarter report…

MU $1T

The Technology Letter Sep 30

It’s entirely possible Nvidia and peers will build more AI chips than the market can absorb

Nvidia, AMD and Micron face the risk that AI data center chip demand falls short of planned semiconductor capacity.

NVDA $5.5TAMD $959B

The Technology Letter Sep 30

The Next Consumer is a Computer

Meta’s Muse illustrates how persistent AI agents shift compute from per-query to per-user, driving heavier GPU, CPU and memory demand.

META $1.9TNVDA $5.5T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 30 6 clicks

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) Stock Rating: Move To Distribute After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Near-Peak Margins And The Iran War

Chevron moved to Distribute at $204 after Q2 free cash flow reached $18.1 billion on $104 Brent, with near-peak margins driving supernormal…

CVX $430B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30

Micron (NASDAQ: MU) Stock Rating: Hold After Q4 FY8/26 Earnings - No Change To Rating

Micron reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $54.2 billion, up 379%, and guided Q1 revenue to $61.5 billion.

MU $1T

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 4 clicks

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