Saturday, November 14, 2026

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp: Deleveraged, For Sale Sign

TCPC $345M

Clark Street Value 8h ago 2 clicks

11h ago OTCM $626M

The SEC Rule That Could Transform Small-Cap Capital Raising | Cromwell Coulson

The Monetary Matters Network 4 clicks

12h ago NVDA $3.9T

Lessons from Jensen’s scandal, and a new in-depth report (NOTW #114)

Best Anchor Stocks 2 clicks

From X

@Adam_Wyden 1h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP Funny thing is.. just removing the manager / reducing corp prob yields the highest value. CJS is showing 382 of ebitda in 27 w 7 mm of mgmt fee on top… 389. If corp was 15 and consolidated was 374…that’s 200 mm or 2.65 of FCF GROWING ALOT… maybe that’s a mid 40s stock? $CODI

@ACapitalLP 2h ago

A Capital on X

On a serious note, $CODI is one of the more glaring mispricings I’ve ever seen. People can argue whether NAV is $25 or $40/share, but I’m convinced that if you liquidated the entire company tomorrow, the assets would be worth at least 2x where the stock trades today. So why does this divergence exist? And more importantly, what closes the gap? Asset sales, replacing management, simplifying the structure, eliminating the governance discount? You don’t even need the stock to trade at 100% of NAV. What gets it to 80%? And at $12/share, how much downside are you really underwriting relative to the potential upside? That’s the asymmetry that interests me. I just don’t think there’s enough eyeballs on this given the size…

@Mr_Neutral_Man 3h ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Taking my kids on an Anthony Bourdain style Queens food crawl Dinner at Astoria Seafood - grilled scallops, cuttlefish, gulf shrimp, halibut and fried calamari $186 Baklava at Al Sham -$13 Pastry at Cafe Noisette - $18 Pokemon cards $GME - $20 My kids’ smiles - Priceless

@Adam_Wyden 4h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP $CODI nobody believes the company can be liberated. The gonnifs will rule the roost forever. Money will get siphoned in perpetuity and dilution will keep occurring… or will it?

@Adam_Wyden 4h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP $CODI !!!!!

@ACapitalLP 5h ago

A Capital on X

- $OWL private credit apocalypse vs. sustainable franchise

@ACapitalLP 5h ago

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?

@StableBread 5h ago

Fajasy on X

In 2011, share-based compensation cost the 75 companies in the S&P 500's tech sector 2.2% of their revenue on average. By 2021, it cost them 4.1%, yet 45 of them excluded it from the adjusted profits they reported. At the end of 2022, Intuit $INTU traded at 28.4x the adjusted EPS analysts expected, versus 25x for Microsoft $MSFT. With share-based compensation included, Intuit traded at 43.9x, a 76% premium to Microsoft instead of 14%.

Q3 Earnings Updates

Q3 updates cover Crocs, Entravision and Fiserv beats, coal and oil weakness, and Xerox’s sharp decline, testing the underlying cases for…

CROX $7.5BEVC $874M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter 13h ago 2 clicks

Cerebras: Timely Buying Opportunity After The Collapse (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras Systems’ $26.1 billion backlog and Oracle Cloud and Microsoft wins support an upgrade after its valuation reset, though the case…

CBRS $26B

JR Research 13h ago 3 clicks

Zoetis: ~13x P/E, But Still in the Doghouse

Zoetis trades near 13x 2026 guidance after a 31% annual share decline, as Q3 revenue and earnings fell and competition from Elanco…

ZTS $34BELAN $13B

Librarian Capital's Research Library 17h ago 4 clicks

Peabody Energy: Delays With Centurion, But The Valuation Is Extremely Compelling

Peabody Energy trades at 2.7 to 2.9 times consensus EBITDA after Centurion delays cut Q4 guidance, with $434 million cash, $297 million…

BTU $2.1B

Bang For The Buck 20h ago 4 clicks

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from…

CRWV $30BCHTR $25B

Steve Eisman 31h ago 6 clicks

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 34h ago 4 clicks

One Thing I Learned: Meta’s Ads Are About to Surpass Google Search

Meta's $63.1 billion ad revenue nearly matched Google Search's $63.4 billion as Meta grew 26% versus Search's 12%.

META $1.6T

Hayden Capital 31h ago 3 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B

Daniel Romero 32h ago 6 clicks

BGIN: a $34mm tax bill and $31mm of cash

BGIN holds $31.4 million of cash against $34.1 million in taxes payable as first-half revenue fell 85% and self-mining costs exceeded coin…

BGIN $439M

Guardian Research 33h ago 3 clicks

Arcos Dorados Q3: Same Golden Arches, A Fraction Of The Price

Arcos Dorados' Q3 comparable sales rose 15.5% on higher traffic, checks and market share; shares trade at 8.8 times forward earnings amid…

ARCO $1.5B

Kenio Fontes 33h ago 4 clicks

HWKN · short

Hawkins INC

Hawkins (HWKN) faces margin pressure as cost increases and municipal budget constraints weigh on its water-chemical distribution business.

HWKN $3.1B

Value Investors Club May 30 1 click

Google’s AI Return on Investment

Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…

GOOGL $3.6T

Bristlemoon Capital Jul 28 3 clicks

American Express: Q2 2026 Results

American Express reiterated 2026 EPS growth guidance of 12.5% to 16.4% after Q2 volume and revenue growth, while operational and accounting…

AXP $215B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Jul 28

Reflections on quality investing

A 10-factor quality table ranks companies by moats, pricing power, balance sheets and growth, then applies it to 10 Buffett investments.

WFC $258B

Global Outperformers Jul 28

DoorDash: The Infrastructure of Local Commerce

DoorDash built a last-mile logistics network around restaurant delivery, then extended it to groceries, convenience, and other local…

DASH $75B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 28 3 clicks

DoorDash

DoorDash positions itself as infrastructure for local commerce.

DASH $75B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 28 2 clicks

CME's Stock Is Cheap for the Wrong Reason

CME Group trades at 21.7 times trailing earnings versus a 25.1 times 12-month average, despite near-record futures volume and 94%…

CME $114B

First Strike Research Jul 28

Eddie Lampert and AutoZone, Part 3: The Pro Forma and the Payoff

AutoZone's 1996 pro forma assumes store-led revenue growth slowing from 24% to 16.7%, with roughly $1.3 million of capital required per new…

AZO $52B

The Owner's Memo Jul 28

Quick Value #324 - Resideo + ADI Global

Resideo will spin off lower-margin ADI Global distribution after ending its $1.59 billion Honeywell indemnity, separating manufacturing and…

REZI $3.2BADIG $766M

Value Don't Lie Jul 27

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…

ADBE $95B

Bearhold Research Jul 27 2 clicks

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Saturday, November 14, 2026

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

Fajasy on X

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