Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis
DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
This does not read well $NVDA
George Noble on X
The collapse of $NVDA and the AI ecosystem will be truly epic. @GavinSBaker @chamath @Jason @darioperkins @DarioCpx @JG_Nuke @MichaelMOTTCM @biancoresearch
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Does the crash of Jensen’s “Bank of $NVDA” lead to a nuclear funding winter for underfunded AI neoclouds and startups?
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X
When investing in liquidations, sometimes your security stops trading and gets priced at $0.00 and you have to just ignore how it looks in your brokerage account From a 5 figure cost to $0 in my IRA NOT MY FIRST RODEO!!! $ARI P.S. This illiquidity is kind of awesome!
Investor Letters
All letters- 103 Advisory Group October 2026 AMZN $2.9TGOOGL $3.6T
- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $598M
- Robinson Capital Management October 2026
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 CYG FWD $134M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 META $1.6TAVGO $1.6T
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $411MFNCHF $520M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
GrabAGun Q3 2026: Where Did the Cash Go?
GrabAGun’s $34 million Camfour acquisition cuts pro forma net cash to about $54 million as sales decline, losses widen and its buyback…
Nvidia and the World Without Jensen
Nvidia’s Jensen Huang resignation leaves a flat organization built around his direct control as China GPU restrictions tighten.
This Week in Special Situations: Coursera, eToro, Fluor, Trade Desk
Coursera trades at roughly $150 million enterprise value after Pale Fire Capital took 14.7%, with cash and Treasuries covering 83% of its…
Qure Anniversary Update
UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.
Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade
Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…
Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty
F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…
AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test
AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.
Quanta Services (PWR): Backlog Up 63% While Shares Fall 30%
Quanta Services' backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, with AI and power-infrastructure demand driving revenue…
Jensen Huang Resigns. Who Should Replace Him to Keep Nvidia Successful?
A hypothetical Nvidia succession scenario names Colette Kress interim CEO and favors Arm's Rene Haas or Nvidia's Ian Buck as permanent…
Petrobras: Record Earnings, Shrinking Dividends, And The Lula IV Problem
Petrobras posted record 3Q26 production and earnings, but higher investment needs are shrinking dividends as a possible Lula IV government…
Bernard Zambonin 6 clicks
VSEC · long Vse CORP
VSE Corp trades at $185, with a stated $246 fair value and 2027 estimated EV/EBITDA of 15x.
Wix: More Pain (Ticker: WIX)
Wix cut 2026 bookings guidance by $50 million and revenue by $25 million after layoffs and weaker agency-partner demand, deepening scrutiny…
The ISA Doesn't Matter Where It Counts
X86 and Arm matter less than GPU interconnects in AI server CPUs, with NVLink-C2C and Infinity Fabric defining the highest-value…
Precision AI
Adobe’s licensed vector data, corporate workflow integration and compliance framework could give it an edge in precision AI as frontier…
Single Stock Spotlight #10: Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)
Mammoth Energy Services rose above $3 after trading below net cash, aided by divestments, first-quarter adjusted EBITDA profitability and a…
The Great RPO Illusion: Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia, and the Neoclouds
OpenAI commitments can be counted as Microsoft RPO, Nvidia revenue and neocloud backlog, layering claims on the same underlying demand.
Intuit deep dive
Intuit’s investment case turns on whether AI strengthens or weakens QuickBooks and TurboTax moats across SMB accounting, payroll, payments…
Nobody Owns the Beach: A West Maui Land Company Trading Below Book
Kaanapali Land trades near $31 versus $48.50 book value after a $20 million Lahaina sale, with West Maui land value constrained by lengthy…
Note on Fiserv CEO Change & Huntsman/Olin Merger
Fiserv fell nearly 10% after CEO Mike Lyons left for Truist, while Olin's stock-funded 0.5476-share offer values Huntsman below its prior…
Deep Dive: Netflix ($NFLX)
Netflix's 325 million memberships and advertising business, guided to $3 billion of 2026 revenue, underpin a case for mid-teens…
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