Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
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From X
Negligible Capital on X
Yeah but $CBRS is probably fine…
Deep Sail Capital on X
Scale across means linking data centers that are physically apart, so it requires switches and architecture that are extremely reliable and consistent. This becomes more important as training runs get bigger and inference spread out across distributed data centers. $ANET win in this market
Asif Suria on X
Maybe Jensen will mount a comeback the way @vishal_better did with $BETR It would be surprising if the board decides to oust him from $NVDA. What would this mean for the greater AI bubble with all the circular financing and such.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
I’m looking to short a lot of shitcos if they run here: $RGTI $IONQ $ACHR $QBTS just look at my Shortlist for names.
Deep Sail Capital on X
$QNT in Dec 1 Lockup. It trades at an insane valuation of 300 P/S as the market share count doesn’t count the economic interests currently not converted by Honeywell and Others.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
$SHLS & $ARRY Merger / Short Report Review
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $597M
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $130MSPSY $111M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7BHUT $6.6B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $65BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $399MFNCHF $506M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $32BNOW $106B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6BSN $31B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $70MPLT $95M
WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon
WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…
Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…
A Call with Cogent ($CCOI) CEO Dave Schaeffer: Data Centers, the $700M Refi and Life After T-Mobile
Cogent expects to replace roughly $100 million of T-Mobile payments ending in 2028 through cost cuts and high-margin on-net sales, while…
My largest position is now a healthcare stock with 195% upside to my target
An unnamed healthcare company became the portfolio’s largest position at 8%, with a $130 target implying 195% upside despite broken…
I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.
Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…
Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)
Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…
Alan Sumler 1 click
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
AI is Heading for a Massive Oversupply: Top Hedge Fund Manager’s Prediction | David Orr
David Orr argues AI compute capex will create a major oversupply, pressuring semiconductor trades, software moats and white-collar wages…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…
Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
MOH · long Molina Healthcare
Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…
Brown & Brown
Brown & Brown compounded revenue 14.4% annually since 1998 through more than 650 acquisitions, capped by its nearly $10 billion Accession…
MSGS at a Glaring Discount so GO KNICKS GO!
MSGS, owner of the Knicks and Rangers, filed a Form 10 to explore a spinoff as comparable franchise sales support an $11 billion valuation.
What CrowdStrike Shareholders Are Really Funding
CrowdStrike’s $318 million quarterly stock compensation and payroll taxes equaled 23% of revenue, diluting shareholders while non-GAAP…
When the Ducks are Quacking
Ford’s 1956 IPO sold 10.2 million shares at $63 each after Goldman Sachs helped resolve the Ford Foundation’s voting-rights problem.
Lawrence Hamtil: The Farmer Mentality, Software's Cycle, and Investing with Irreplaceable Capital
Lawrence Hamtil discusses the farmer mentality, software’s cycle and investing with irreplaceable capital.
Sea Limited and Mercado Libre Q1'26: Reinvestment Justified? A Zero Sum Game in Brazil?
Sea and Mercado Libre defend Brazilian e-commerce share with logistics, cross-border trade, VIP programs and financial services, accepting…
Infineon Technologies (IFX GY): Power Overwhelming
Infineon’s power semiconductors stand to benefit from AI data centers shifting to 800VDC power delivery, though its sharp rerating to…
Under The Hood, Universal Health Services - $UHS
Universal Health Services faces a $432 million–$480 million annual Medicaid supplemental-payment hit by 2032, offset by behavioral-health…
What's going on with Marvell?
Marvell's Structera CXL cards make surplus DDR4 usable in memory pools, with dense SRAM IP helping mask latency amid DRAM shortages.
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