Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal

Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.

MRVL $152BLITE $59B

P Equity Research 20h ago 3 clicks

22h ago DASH $78B

DoorDash’s FBA Moment

MBI Deep Dives 3 clicks

23h ago CVS $115B

My largest position is now a healthcare stock with 195% upside to my target

Guardian Research 6 clicks

From X

@evantindell Aug 3

Evan Tindell on X

Finally got a chance to go through the $UMG earnings... Obviously, a disappointment on revenue growth and margins, which saw the stock drop like 20%. Subscription revenue was 6.7% organically, and the street was looking for >9%. So, a big miss. Still, I think things should improve. Apple, Spotify, Amazon, and YouTube music have all raised prices this year, and a portion of that will go to UMG. CFO Matt Ellis said on the call that these prices and "better market share to start the third quarter" make them "cautiously optimistic" (really sticking his neck out there!!) that growth will improve in H2 of 2026. Interestingly, Warner Music $WMG managed to grow revenue 12% in CC and adjusted OIBDA by 24%, so clearly this is a UMG-only problem, at least for this quarter. $UMG trades at 14x earnings on a NTM basis now... this seems pretty reasonable if not downright cheap for a company that has grown EBIT from EUR 1b in 2019 to around 2b today (11% organic EBITDA CAGR). We own this through Bollore, which currently has an NAV of just above 11 EUR by my calculation vs a last price of under 4 EUR. Notably, JPM thinks new AI tiers in Spotify and Apple Music will drive ARPU growth of 300 bps per year. Their price target was 48 EUR prior to the recent earnings release...

@TheBenSchmark Aug 2 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Semrush found that Reddit citations collapsed in ChatGPT through 2025. And in AI responses in general. Different reasons have been proffered, but I for one am glad SEO spam and human-generated nonsense is being weighted less $RDDT

@DevinLaSarre Aug 2

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out. British American Tobacco: Narrowed $BTI $PM $MO $IMBBY $HAYPP $STG

@RagingVentures Aug 1 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Sold my $BILL on this 50%+ run off the lows, and continue to actively trade around core $HUBS and $WDAY positions by regularly writing calls or shorting puts (and sometimes boxing my longs). The volatility has been insane. Sold $ESTC for now. Also, I’m now short a small amount of $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM, $CXM and $YEXT into July’s de-grossing/de-leveraging squeeze.

@RagingVentures Aug 1 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Another ugly quarter at $MO. Still struggling to gain traction in the all-important new smokeless markets, while Marlboro bleeds market share and overall smoking volumes continue to collapse. This has been a good trading short with all of the funky rotation and factor moves.

@RagingVentures Aug 1

Raging Capital Ventures on X

OpenAI “ARR” apparently run rating at $60 b, and (for the most part) they haven’t yet monetized their 1 billion weekly consumer actives. Bullish $ORCL.

@AsifSuria Jul 31 2 clicks

Asif Suria on X

If Newsom has aspirations to run for president, he can’t be perceived as being bad for big business. The Warner Bros. $WBD situation is not the same as Sable Offshore $SOC and I am sure there is tremendous political pressure through the Ellisons. Larry didn’t get to where he is by backing down from a fight and we saw this in action during the acquisition of Peoplesoft by Oracle $ORCL more than two decades ago.

@irbezek Jul 31 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@taobanker I half heartedly pitched $jd the week it bottomed with an apology attached to it for buying such a hated stock. Sure enough straight up

[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic

FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…

FICO $16BPAYC $11B

scuttleblurb 26h ago 5 clicks

Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price

Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…

ADBE $92B

Tim Travis 31h ago 2 clicks

Sea Ltd Earnings Update: Q3 2026

Sea Ltd reported Q3 2026 revenue of $8.6 billion, up 43.4% year over year, while net income rose 34.0%.

SE $45B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 37h ago 7 clicks

CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

CoreWeave reported 168% revenue growth to $3.66 billion, but $20.4 billion of trailing free cash outflow and $42.7 billion in net debt keep…

CRWV $34B

Cestrian Capital Research 37h ago 4 clicks

Constellation Software 3Q26 Recap: When 2% is Good

Constellation Software’s 3Q26 organic revenue grew 2%, while $609 million of acquisitions and improving acquired-business margins supported…

CNSWF $52B

Speedwell Research 38h ago 2 clicks

CoreWeave: This still doesn’t look like a good business

CoreWeave's Q3 report leaves its data-center business looking structurally unattractive despite major changes since the prior earnings…

CRWV $34B

The Technology Letter 39h ago 3 clicks

Intel Earnings, AMD Earnings, Intel and AMD’s Divergence

Intel and AMD’s diverging earnings reflect longstanding strategic differences and raise the case for Intel returning to an earlier model.

INTC $332B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 39h ago 2 clicks

Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…

ABNB $108B

Speedwell Memos 42h ago 2 clicks

Airbnb 3Q26 Business Update: “Growth Mode”

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights grew 16%; app rebuild, AI-assisted releases and social travel features aim to…

ABNB $108B

Speedwell Research 43h ago 2 clicks

Research update

S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…

SPGI $138BICE $101B

Global Outperformers 46h ago 3 clicks

Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q3 Earnings

Occidental Petroleum generated $4.3 billion of Q3 EBITDA and cut principal debt to $10 billion, but each $1 WTI decline reduces annual…

OXY $57B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 10 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q3 revenue up 73% to $267.8 million and backlog up 52% to $3.57 billion, but Neutron’s first flight slipped to 2027 and…

RKLB $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 10 2 clicks

Rocket Lab: Neutron Keeps On Slipping As Expected

RKLB $45B

Louis Gerard Nov 10 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXV

Quanta Services’ backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, while AI power and data-center construction demand…

PWR $92B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 10 2 clicks

No title

SpaceX’s $24 billion Starbase power plant, Microsoft’s Oracle capacity cuts, Riot’s $72 billion AI lease and Quanta’s sell-off frame…

PWR $92BORCL $400B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 10 3 clicks

Nebius Earnings Preview: Has The Contracts, But Still Too Expensive Even After A 57% Decline

Nebius Group's Microsoft and Meta contracts improve revenue visibility, but high capex, dilution and hardware replacement risk leave NBIS…

NBIS $39B

Lee Bailey Nov 10 1 click

Big Short Investor Explains How the AI Bubble Could Burst

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom rests on a handful of companies and hundreds of billions in infrastructure spending, risking recession and…

ORCL $400B

Steve Eisman Nov 9 6 clicks

Insider activity October 2026

Asian insider buying reached $2.9 billion in October, the highest since 2018, with South Korea and Thailand leading.

BKRKY $23B

Asian Century Stocks Nov 9 2 clicks

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.

ETN $140B

Value Don't Lie Nov 9 3 clicks

One Regulator Could Soon Unlock Altria And Cronos' Cannabis Fortune

Adult-use cannabis rescheduling would open Altria’s 42% Cronos stake to a U.S. market rerating.

MO $129B

Aseity Research Nov 9 4 clicks

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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Evan Tindell on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Devin LaSarre on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Asif Suria on X

Ian Bezek on X

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