WDAY · long Workday INC
Workday shares have declined since February 2024 as the market has turned against SaaS stocks.
NASDAQ
Workday, Inc.
WDAY
12 stories
$51B Market cap · 2026-10-23
WDAY · long Broken Moats on X
Continue to believe that expiration this week will be the culmination in the software squeeze. Money will want to come off the table ahead of earnings season for the sector, and I think that will be followed with an acknowledgment from earnings that while their revenues are not at risk today - these companies still do face increased competition, lower barriers, higher costs for cloud/inference, and seat based model problems that will be challenging moving forward. The $WDAY rumor news was not the floor, it was the peak counter narrative to AI disruption.
Private Equity is coming for Software (NOTW#104)
Silver Lake’s reported talks to buy Workday briefly lifted software stocks, reviving hopes that private equity sees value in beaten-down…
junkbondinvestor on X
Workday employees learning their new owner's first workstream will be headcount reduction $WDAY https://t.co/AIvTDIXGdo
Asif Suria on X
Related from yesterday about the success rate of deal rumors like $WDAY: https://t.co/Ea5tx0kMx6
Asif Suria on X
This potential deal for Workday $WDAY by Silver Lake as reported by @MilanaVinn of Reuters is fascinating. I wonder if Silver Lake is going to try to recreate with @aneelb what they did with @MichaelDell Silver Lake has been selling down their $DELL stock for several weeks/months as we have been reporting in our Insider Weekends articles every Sunday on InsideArbitrage. Workday got up to $300 at least twice in the last five years and I would be surprised if the final deal (if it happens) comes in below $250.
Broken Moats on X
who is financing an LBO of $WDAY at this valuation....one of the more baffling capital allocation decisions across the spectrum I could imagine. Seems like a very levered play to try and change marks on private credit and then move to open refinancing or the IPO market to dump all the bags and use "WDAY" as mark/proof. Whole thing is sketchy.....
junkbondinvestor on X
*SILVER LAKE IN TALKS TO BUY WORKDAY: REUTERS ~$43B enterprise value...would be one of the largest software buyouts EVER! $WDAY
Broken Moats on X
Weird world to watch $RNG as the new memory stock. How much longer we think the squeeze in all things people were short 6 weeks ago lasts....getting pretty crazy to watch $WDAY climbing to $185. Doomsday at the lows, but not totally off base to reset off true profitability after years of sbc adjusted multiples. But the risks still remain, that structurally the barrier to generating code is lower, competition will increase as a result. And while there are advantages to certain players installed bases and data the moats have eroded to various degrees. Does anyone actually believe we need more phones, and more base level contact services in the future ($RNG) I doubt so. Its a pretty impressive counter trend, squeeze move against a clear trend (the reversal of May and June) but if you've benefited here from these rebounds I think you would be crazy to not only book profits but not find short exposure in this area, many of these companies even if they surrvive and can pivot to being ai beneficiary will go through some tough times in the coming few years as the prices decline for models and compute access
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Sold my $BILL on this 50%+ run off the lows, and continue to actively trade around core $HUBS and $WDAY positions by regularly writing calls or shorting puts (and sometimes boxing my longs). The volatility has been insane. Sold $ESTC for now. Also, I’m now short a small amount of $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM, $CXM and $YEXT into July’s de-grossing/de-leveraging squeeze.
Broken Moats on X
Dispersion trade creating opportunities of fundamentals not matching price: $FDS now higher than the before SaaS (apocalypse) took off. Hard to argue they are not one of the most disrupted names across data services / software $PAYC $PCTY $WDAY - same challenges across software names and pricing / seat pressures. These names also face heavy increased competition from Rippling $EXPE - Hotels going direct has already started and OTAs should see supply pressure and take rate pressure $RNG - Does anyone legitimately believe they're an AI play? Agents don't need calls, don't need phones, and you don't need RNG to provide those agents - especially as every sb and up software provider and crm/erp Many others across software but also in financials, industrials and consumer
Multiples Capital on X
The AI disruptions no one seems to be talking about, ytd stock performances $TTD -54% $IT -53% $HUBS -35% $ACN -32% $TEAM -31% $CRM -28% $ADBE -23% $NOW -18% $WDAY -14%
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