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Monday, November 9, 2026

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@convequity

Convequity on X

Judging Tower Semiconductor ($TSEM) by how advanced its chip process is misses what its chips are for. Skeptics often set Tower's older 65 nm process against the more advanced processes at TSMC ($TSM). That yardstick suits logic chips, which are judged on transistor density. It does not suit the analog chips Tower makes for optics. 1. In an optical engine, the analog front-end is the circuitry that drives the laser and reads the returning light. It needs speed, linearity and power efficiency, not maximum transistor density. 2. Tower's strength is its silicon-germanium BiCMOS processes. They have long dominated the merchant market for these laser-driver and receiver chips because they deliver high performance without the most advanced CMOS logic. 3. A less noticed strength is hybrid bonding. Co-packaged optics needs an electronic chip bonded reliably onto a photonic one. Tower already runs mature, high-yield hybrid bonding for stacked image sensors in high-end phones, where a signal-processing chip is bonded onto a light-sensing chip. A close technical parallel, already at volume. The limit: if the electronic chip has to take on more complex signal processing, such as clock recovery or adaptive equalization, TSMC's advanced FinFET processes do offer real advantages in power and integration. Different foundries may end up making different parts of the system. So Tower's position in optics rests on silicon-germanium and photonic process expertise, not on advanced logic.
@kevin__mak

Kevin Mak on X

$QURE A bunch has been written about today's AMT130 news by people far more scientifically credible than me, so I'll just summarize to say my opinion is that the data was directionally bearish but only mildly. I think the reaction to the news was overblown. If you gave me the press release and conference call ahead of time and asked me to guess "what does the price trade to", I'd say around $32. Lots of people have complained about the type and quality of disclosure and messaging from the company but I want to highlight something I noticed that I think has been missed. My experience this morning was that the actual press release process was entirely mishandled. Here's what I think happened: 7:05AM ET is the "typical release time" for QURE. So naturally when they setup an interview with Stat News and Bloomberg the night before, they likely communicated this "embargo time". So at 7:05AM, the pre-written articles from Stat and Bloomberg hit the newswires. Bloomberg's article was particularly poorly done, with exceptionally little detail beyond the "-44% not stat sig" datapoint. (They later "updated" their news article to be more robust). But this awful article was essentially first to hit the headlines, and obviously thousands of bots and machines are scraping Bloomberg, and trading off it. Naturally one would want to "check for more data beyond two articles", but for some reason, at 7:05AM, there was no Press Release from QURE. This was likely a mistake (either by QURE or by the wire company). In the screenshot (and link) below, you'll see the timestamp of the official wire including ALL of the data. So investors were "left in the dark" for a full 7 minutes. Does 7 minutes really matter? To a long term investor, certainly not. But it matters to algo traders, who leave footprints of price action, which affect sentiment, so it does matter. Also, it leaves me unsettled that they're possibly getting some of the most basic things wrong. I get their jobs are stressful and there's a lot on the line here, that's why you have to dot your i's, cross your t's, because everything matters. To be clear, I don't know for a fact who's error this was, but I'd speculate it was the company. (Here's a normal press release from the company timestamped at 7:05AM ET. There are many other examples on the site that corroborate the 7:05 ET pattern) Disclosure: Creek Drive and its affiliated funds hold a long position in QURE. Views expressed are current opinions for information only, subject to change and are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves the risk of loss and past performance is not indicative of future performance. See the disclosures link in my bio for more important information.

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