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Thursday, November 5, 2026

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@convequity

Convequity on X

GPT-6 Astra: scaling still works. Algo is the larger remaining gap. Astra shows both scaling laws and algorithms are still progressing. It is reportedly distilled from a 10T+ teacher named Bel. Maybe with $NVDA Vera Rubin and the next compute generation coming online, 10T+ becomes the new standard and performance keeps compounding. That means continued — even accelerating — demand for AI infra. The more interesting signal is algo. IMO we are still just touching the surface of how algorithms can improve. There is still a large gap between SOTA perf/watt and the human brain. GPT-6’s recurrent depth is the part that stuck with me. CoT / test-time reasoning lets the model write intermediate steps out as tokens, then produce a better final answer than a direct reply. Recurrent depth is different. It lets the model think longer and harder in hidden space before any word is emitted. Not just write the thinking out. Think harder on each next bit of the word. I am perplexed this arrived so late in GPT-6. Stable Diffusion introduced and spread this kind of latent iterative method in image generation ~5 years ago. The main reason it came so late: hidden thinking is harder to safety-check and monitor than explicit CoT. That constraint is real. It is also more human-like. People do not narrate every step. Plenty of global-max algorithms are still unimplemented for similar reasons. Models only get stronger from here.
@ChrisCamillo

Chris Camillo on X

Been getting the same pushback on my $TSLA cybercab take for yrs: “you just don’t get it.” Meanwhile, the opportunity cost of parking capital in $TSLA during this period of stratospheric returns across AI winners would have been catastrophic. If robotaxi starts showing signs of being 5x bigger than I’m modeling, or when optimus materializes, I’ll happily lean into the trade late. Until then, I’m continue to allocate capital where I have better visibility into what I can actually observe vs. speculative scenarios that are years out. no hate to the tesla fanboys. your win if it happens won’t be my loss

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Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

MELI $77B
Cassandra Unchained 2 clicks

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

INTC $287B
Monte Independent Investment Research 2 clicks

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

TWST $8B
Hunterbrook 4 clicks

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

VSH $3.6B
Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

SUI $14B
Trade Ideas Flow 6 clicks
CHWY · long

Chewy INC

Chewy (CHWY) is presented as a long opportunity after a prior 2022 short thesis played out.

CHWY $9.2B
Value Investors Club 6 clicks

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

AA $10BNKE $60B
Aurelion Research 4 clicks

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

CURB $3.6B
Real Assets, Real Value 5 clicks

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