AppLovin 3Q26 Business Update: No Notes
AppLovin’s Q3 revenue rose 55% year over year as AXON model gains expanded margins, while ad take-rate compression remains the key competitive risk.
Thursday, November 5, 2026
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From X
Lee Roach on X
Timber companies are a hard asset and low risk way to play the datacenter boom. $RYN $WY
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Community Corner: Active Indiana bank buyer heads to Illinois for latest deal $THFF | S&P Global Market Intelligence
Broken Moats on X
Why is $GTLB up ah? Expense dollar growth far outstripped revenue dollar growth? and 117 NR at this valuation is not impressive, let alone the 50% increase in SBC yoy.....
Negligible Capital on X
*DELL SEES FY ADJ EPS $25.25 TO $25.75, SAW $17.65 TO $18.15 The $DELL earnings / guide is absolutely wild FY27 EPS guided at $25.5 at the midpoint when the buyside expectations were at around $22 (street was only at $18.4). And to think Dell was at one point a consensus short on memory pricing exposure. Servers are booming. Holy DELL
Broken Moats on X
$QXO finally in my valuation zone, acquired shares this afternoon. Rates present a challenge, soft commodities surging and geopolitical could further stress inflation/yields but you usually do not get deal when everything is firing on all cylinders
Trevor Scott on X
$FFH.TO finally overtaking $MKL on P/B (M2M value not included) "Fairfax currently has roughly $5 billion of excess fair value over carrying value in its associate and market-traded consolidated holdings—about $250 per share pre-tax." - @VikingVan100
A Capital on X
Par example, $NN is a lottery ticket, there is no way it doesn’t get “positioned” again into the high teens around the next major catalyst…
Investor Letters
All letters- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $525M
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $143BSIEGY $233B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BBKNG $122B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
- JB Global Capital Q3 2026 BABA $262BFLO $1.4B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $416MALM $2.5B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 AAIGF $103BADYEY $32B
- Night Watch Investment Management Q3 2026 AZLGF $3.3BIMCDY $6.7B
Trading Post November 5, 2026
MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.
Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)
Uber's Q3 growth, margin expansion and rising cash flow clash with a bear-case valuation as investors price in robotaxi disruption risk…
Luca Socci 4 clicks
Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted
Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…
Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)
Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…
VSH Earnings Review
Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…
This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness
AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…
Array Technologies And Shoals Merger Creates Upside Potential
Array Technologies and Shoals Technologies plan to merge, targeting cross-selling and cost synergies as ARRY's order book holds firm and…
Caffital Research 3 clicks
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.
Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…
Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026
Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…
eToro: Expanding Beyond Crypto
EToro trades at 2.89x EV/FCF with $304 million in trailing free cash flow, expanding from crypto into equities, commodities, currencies and…
Max Arnoldi 6 clicks
CHWY · long Chewy INC
Chewy (CHWY) is presented as a long opportunity after a prior 2022 short thesis played out.
The Buyback Shows Up (ESRT Q3 2026)
Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt…
Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings
Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…
GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update
GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…
AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look
AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.
An Interview With Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi About Accounting and AI
Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi discusses using AI to turn accountants from customer-acquisition partners into customers, alongside QuickBooks,…
DigitalOcean (DOCN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
DigitalOcean reported Q3 revenue up 40% to $321 million and lifted Q4 guidance above consensus, while GPU and data-center expansion cut…
New Ideas From The Road
Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…
L3Harris (LHX) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
L3Harris booked $19.3 billion of Q3 orders, lifting backlog to $53.2 billion, raised FY26 guidance and cut its 2028 free-cash-flow target…
Oracle: The Party Is Almost Over
Oracle’s CDS spreads exceed 320 basis points as debt approaches $135 billion and fiscal 2027 capex targets $95 billion, amid heavy reliance…
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