Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply expands.

HCC $4.3BBTU $2.1B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 4 3 clicks

Nov 4 GPC $17B

GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update

Stock Thoughts 7 clicks

Nov 4 DOCN $11B

DigitalOcean (DOCN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 26

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@voltino_cro We bought $VNO preferred a few years back at 11.5% yield We've done over 20% CAGR for almost 4 years now Just added a little bit recent at a 8.3% yield

@MultiplesCap Oct 26 1 click

Multiples Capital on X

Oil spiking higher or lower from here and hence how gold and smid cyclicals do from here is now increasingly dependent on Israel election. Bibi loss likely results in Trump folding to Iran in some fashion which should push oil premium significantly down. The ultimate 🌮 could be served. Bibi wins should push oil higher. Doubt even Trump knows what happens. Don't yolo yet. $gld, $iwm

@TidefallCapital Oct 26 4 clicks

Trevor Scott on X

@realroseceline My only question is on valuation assumption. Why would $NU trade at a 30x pe in 2030?

@stockgutter Oct 26 1 click

SG on X

anyone buying Brazil today? Had several aggressive stinkbids in. Only one hit so far, $XP at 14.75. Will probably cover with calls. https://t.co/53Pn9RoLEs

@junkbondinvest Oct 26 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

SpaceX just announced a ~$40bn GPU financing with Apollo. Recall Apollo has been doing these Musk GPU deals for a while now. The difference this time is scale. $40bn is massive. Gotta put that Athene money to work! $SPCX https://t.co/yjb0WCPHCs

@StableBread Oct 26 1 click

Fajasy on X

On EV to year-end ARR, Boost Run $BRUN now trades below CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. At $8.89/share, $BRUN’s EV is $989.7M. That’s 2.5x its $400M target for year-end ARR, down from 5.4x at the $22.93 price in my August 16 update. EV is market cap plus debt and lease liabilities, less unrestricted cash, using October 16 closes and June 30 balance sheets ($BRUN’s cash is pro forma for the warrant exercises). ARR is the midpoint of each company’s year-end 2026 target, which is $18.5-19.5B for CoreWeave, $7-9B for Nebius, $400M for $BRUN, and more than $4B for $IREN. At 2.5x, $BRUN trades below all three peers, including $IREN at 3.2x. A reasonable range for $BRUN is 2.5-5.0x, from where it trades today to just under the midpoint of CoreWeave’s 4.2x and Nebius’s 5.9x. I use the peers’ median rather than their average, since Nebius’s 5.9x skews the average higher. Nebius also owns more than 75% of its contracted power, while $BRUN owns no data centers (a different model, not a weakness).

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 26 4 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

As someone who grew up in the restaurant business and provided a lot of free child labor, there is nothing passive or boring about any of these businesses. These kind of tweets are harmful! Want 7.2-8.3% passive income? You may want to consider the $REXR $PSA $VNO preferred https://t.co/y1NuP1BOcD

@valuedontlie Oct 26

Colin King on X

Flagstar $FLG probably outside my "circle of competence" but can't help looking... Cut FY27 EPS guidance from $1.65 to $0.90 (ouch) and pushed out to FY28 (because higher rates?) $60bn loan book with half of it in questionable CRE/MF loans concentrated in NYC (former NYCB), another ~third in growing C&I loan book Efficiency ratio ugly $10 stock with $15/sh TBV = 0.67x Maybe a value trap?

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

AA $10BNKE $60B

Aurelion Research Nov 4 4 clicks

L3Harris (LHX) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

L3Harris booked $19.3 billion of Q3 orders, lifting backlog to $53.2 billion, raised FY26 guidance and cut its 2028 free-cash-flow target…

LHX $48B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 4 3 clicks

Oracle: The Party Is Almost Over

Oracle’s CDS spreads exceed 320 basis points as debt approaches $135 billion and fiscal 2027 capex targets $95 billion, amid heavy reliance…

ORCL $363B

David Desjardins Nov 4 1 click

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

CURB $3.6B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 4 5 clicks

Coupang: 3Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce growth rose 9% as data-leak effects fade, while management expects margins to return to pre-incident levels by…

CPNG $27B

Speedwell Memos Nov 4 3 clicks

Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management

David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…

CMCSA $84BZG $7.8B

Raging Capital Nov 4 5 clicks

3Q26 Recap: Margin at Trough, Recovery In-sight

Coupang expects Product Commerce margins to return to pre-data incident levels by mid-2027 as customer spending recovers and Taiwan…

CPNG $27B

Speedwell Research Nov 4 2 clicks

Novo Nordisk (NVO) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Novo Nordisk beat Q3 consensus as Wegovy pill sales reached DKK 5.4bn, raised 2026 guidance again and reported DKK 79.2bn revenue.

NVO $181B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 4 5 clicks

Shopify 3Q’26: Closing In on Half of Amazon

Shopify's 3Q 2026 GMV grew 30% FX-neutral, reaching 46% of Amazon retail GMV after merchants captured nearly half of incremental U.S.

SHOP $193BAMZN $2.9T

MBI Deep Dives Nov 4 1 click

update on Gartner

Gartner’s growth has stalled after federal contract losses and cautious commercial spending, raising questions about its competitive…

IT $13B

scuttleblurb Nov 4 1 click

Recycle Bin

Used aircraft engines can be repurposed as gas turbines, easing data center power constraints while tightening aviation supply.

EQT $33BRRC $12B

Doomberg Nov 4 8 clicks

Intel: Why Didn’t We See This Coming?

Intel’s 30% stock collapse followed guidance for a more than 20% sequential Q4 client revenue decline, server CPU packaging constraints and…

INTC $287B

Vik's Newsletter Nov 4 3 clicks

AMRZ · long

Amrize

Amrize (AMRZ) produces aggregates, cement and roofing materials across the US and Canada.

AMRZ $22B

Value Investors Club Aug 6 3 clicks

Builders FirstSource: Built To Last Until Housing Turns

Builders FirstSource's buybacks halved its share count since 2021, while 4.1x leverage, fixed-rate debt and post-2030 maturities support it…

BLDR $6.8B

Tim Travis Nov 3

AMD Earnings Review

AMD reported $13.4 billion in Q3 revenue, with Data Center sales up 97% to $8.5 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $17 billion.

AMD $660B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 revenue of $18.1 billion, up 5%, and raised 2026 guidance as Keytruda sales reached $8.6 billion ahead of its 2028 patent…

MRK $371B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 2 clicks

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $48BMRVL $117B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

MRVL $117BLITE $48B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

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Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Multiples Capital on X

Trevor Scott on X

SG on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Fajasy on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

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