Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

$FICO forward P/E means nothing, trailing P/E around ~18x. Relevant mental model may beBill Nygren sand $MCO Moodys post GFC when regulatory expanded agencies from 2.5 to 6 and essentially mandated competition with Moodys. See interview with Google on YT in maybe 2011. We saw how that turned out. Bias: 1 share bought at $870 to scratch an irrational itch. Status: miffed, @wpulte suffers from man with a hammer tendency

@pennycheck Sep 29

⚽️📡 on X

$ADEA New CEO hire is exactly what you want to see. She spent last 8 years at $ARM turning semi conducter IP into massive growth + recurring revenue honestly surprised stock is down given how the previous CEO exit had been weighing on the stock https://t.co/m34bD0nn3l https://t.co/JXuFHAsKJj

@convequity Sep 29

Convequity on X

Batch size sets the trade-off between speed and cost in AI inference. An AI server answers many users at once by bundling their requests into one batch. Our $CBRS note compares this to running a bus. There are two ways to run it, and each gives something up. 1. Fill the bus. Put as many passengers as possible on every run. More stops slow each passenger's trip, but the cost of the run is spread across more people, so the cost per passenger falls. Larger batches do the same: each user's answer is slower, and the cost per token falls because the system produces more tokens from the same hardware. 2. Carry fewer passengers and stop less. Each trip is faster, but fewer seats mean the cost of the run is spread less well, so the cost per passenger rises. Smaller batches are fast for one user and raise the cost per token. So in the analogy, speed for each user is how fast each passenger arrives. Cost per token is cost per passenger. A system set up for one gives up some of the other. When someone compares two inference systems, check the batch size behind each number. A speed figure or a cost-per-token figure quoted without it cannot be compared fairly.

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@SmallCapVal Was excited to see an insider purchase at $CME filed yesterday but it turned out to be a dividend reinvestment as most of the purchases at $CME tend to be. https://t.co/E7mlsW02I3

@junkbondinvest Sep 29 2 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

Paramount's $52bn $WBD debt package is FINALLY in the market. Here's the package: $32bn of IG-rated 1L bonds, the 5th-largest US high-grade sale EVER. Plus $7.5bn of loans and $12.4bn of 2L HY bonds. Paramount's existing unsecured bonds? Primed. Back of the line. Good luck and thanks for playing. Where in the cap stack are you playing? $PSKY $PARA

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@accrued_int Yes indeed! Tons of buying In $DKS since August. Retail has generally been a difficult sector for me and so I am approaching this cautiously. https://t.co/sQw6OWE2zl

@finphysnerd Sep 29 1 click

Myles on X

Selling low vol international stuff and buying risk and rate exposure today (with some hedging using $ANGL, $SMH and $QQQ). Purely a sentiment and positioning thesis. Historically I've been too cautious in these sorts of dislocations so im trying something new.

@leevalueroach Sep 29

Lee Roach on X

Fair Isaac $FICO is getting killed today. Looks absolutely hammered. Should deep value guys be buying this today? What’s the worst case scenario here? https://t.co/Ag4mL0lbrS

Alphabet: Why I'm Buying The Free Cash Flow Scare

Alphabet's EPS miss came from a SpaceX stake loss, while 24.7% revenue growth and a $561 billion Cloud backlog counter free cash flow…

GOOGL $3.4T

Cain Lee Oct 29 1 click

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet 3Q’26: Search Worries Weighing In

Alphabet’s Search growth slowed to 12% as Cloud revenue more than doubled, while quarterly free cash flow stayed negative amid the capex…

GOOGL $3.4T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet Inc Earnings Update: Fiscal Q1 2027

Alphabet reported $127.6 billion in revenue, up 25%, as Google Cloud doubled to $30.7 billion and 36.2% margins.

GOOGL $3.4T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 29 1 click

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $12B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $110B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

What I'm Watching In November: Midterm Madness, Nvidia, And Walmart

November markets hinge on U.S. midterms, CPI, payrolls and OPEC+, with Nvidia guidance and Walmart sales testing the AI trade and consumer…

NVDA $5TWMT $1T

Passage Research Oct 29 1 click

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

GOOGL $3.4TAMZN $2.9T

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

GOOGL $3.4TMSFT $4T

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BPYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Meta: A Clearer Roadmap

Meta's non-cancelable commitments reached $455 billion as FY26 capex approaches $140 billion, driving expense growth and 700-basis-point…

META $1.6T

TSOH Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

Kevin Warsh Calmed AI Fears, Then Alphabet's Jaw-Dropper Arrived

Alphabet’s Q3 long-term debt jumped 479% amid AI spending, reviving concerns over AI-funded leverage even as a Fed policy update lifted…

GOOGL $3.4T

Uttam Dey Oct 29

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $196B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

MU $946BHTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

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Thursday, October 29, 2026

Calvin Blissett on X

⚽️📡 on X

Convequity on X

Asif Suria on X

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Asif Suria on X

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