Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $21B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $287B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $287B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@gatorcapital Oct 3

Derek Pilecki on X

$BCS bought back 3.9% of shares in Q3 at an average of 54% of tangible book value("TBV"). Accounted for 22% of volume (excluding ADR volume). Repurchasing shares at a discount to TBV increases TBV from 296 to 301 ex-other Q3 items like earnings and reserves.

@gatorcapital Aug 16

Derek Pilecki on X

@JohnHuber72 If Dimon is so bullish on Mexico, he should have $JPM buy BanaMex from $C instead of buying a Mexican ETF for his PA.

@gatorcapital Jul 18

Derek Pilecki on X

$GS counting AUM from the NN Investment Partners acquisition as Net Inflows during Q2 is not a good look.

@gatorcapital Jul 18

Derek Pilecki on X

Since $SYF reported earnings in Jan 2015, the stock is unchanged and has returned 2% annually (due to dividends) vs 9% for the $XLF. It underperformed because the multiple has gone from 12x to 5x. EPS have compounded 11%...

@gatorcapital Jul 18

Derek Pilecki on X

($SYF cont) Shares out declined 42%. They just improved loan loss guidance. They still have too much capital. The stock popped 5% at today's open but finished close to unchanged. At 5x, it seems like an interesting stock if we don't have a consumer-led recession.

@gatorcapital Jul 16

Derek Pilecki on X

$PNC CEO: "this whole issue is the issue, I think, that investors just have completely wrong about the banking system right now. If you look at the market cap that's been pulled out of the banking system and take your worst-case reserve build and charge-offs through some cycle,

@CapitalVoss May 26

Voss Capital on X

Voss's Q1 Letter to Partners is out. We highlight a new core long: $WSM https://t.co/56IJVj56l3

@CapitalVoss Feb 4

Voss Capital on X

Much more important than the median is the spread b/ w the cheapest (at 7.4x) and most expensive (at 56x) quintiles on fwd P/E estimates. Valuation dispersion has barely budged w/ recent mkt moves & remains at a record wide gap on par w/ peak of the internet bubble. $SPY $IWM https://t.co/rmzJAcD3tR

Alphabet: Why I'm Buying The Free Cash Flow Scare

Alphabet's EPS miss came from a SpaceX stake loss, while 24.7% revenue growth and a $561 billion Cloud backlog counter free cash flow…

GOOGL $3.5T

Cain Lee Oct 29 1 click

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $371B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet 3Q’26: Search Worries Weighing In

Alphabet’s Search growth slowed to 12% as Cloud revenue more than doubled, while quarterly free cash flow stayed negative amid the capex…

GOOGL $3.5T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $268B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $14B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $205B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet Inc Earnings Update: Fiscal Q1 2027

Alphabet reported $127.6 billion in revenue, up 25%, as Google Cloud doubled to $30.7 billion and 36.2% margins.

GOOGL $3.5T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 29 1 click

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $13B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $106B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

What I'm Watching In November: Midterm Madness, Nvidia, And Walmart

November markets hinge on U.S. midterms, CPI, payrolls and OPEC+, with Nvidia guidance and Walmart sales testing the AI trade and consumer…

NVDA $4.6TWMT $1T

Passage Research Oct 29 1 click

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

GOOGL $3.5TAMZN $2.9T

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

GOOGL $3.5TMSFT $4T

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

PYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Meta: A Clearer Roadmap

Meta's non-cancelable commitments reached $455 billion as FY26 capex approaches $140 billion, driving expense growth and 700-basis-point…

META $1.6T

TSOH Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

Kevin Warsh Calmed AI Fears, Then Alphabet's Jaw-Dropper Arrived

Alphabet’s Q3 long-term debt jumped 479% amid AI spending, reviving concerns over AI-funded leverage even as a Fed policy update lifted…

GOOGL $3.5T

Uttam Dey Oct 29

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $195B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

MU $743B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

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Thursday, October 29, 2026

Derek Pilecki on X

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Voss Capital on X

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