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Wednesday, October 28, 2026

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@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

Pretty violent breakdown in the $MTUM and $SPMO ETFs. As you would expect they are now memory heavy indices and won't see a reset of their holding for a while (3rd/4th week of september for both ETFs). Momentum is having a historical selloff which of course was preceded by an unprecedented run (100% outperformance for the $SPMO over the past 3-years relative to the $SPY - never happened before). The charts look awful and the 50-day moving average has been breached. Not good for momentum of the momentum....
@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Someone really going to need to explain how Stripe buying $PYPL is also bullish for $XYZ? Venmo now gets unlimited funding, a direct consumer facing application for the biggest player in payments, and the optionality of their checkout/pos business if they want to scale and invest aggressively their for that (like pushing their stable coin initiative that would be well received by retailers). Would think the correct framework for this deal is it is net negative the entire payment space as a new entrant has new pathways to compete and disrupt ($TOST, $STNE $FOUR etc included)
@OddDiligence

Odd Diligence on X

the KOSPI shares should open up higher.. Maybe 5 to 10%? Just depends on the Korean vibes i guess over there, hard to pin down. for $SKHY 177.9M shares in IPO, 118.6M shares went to top 25 IPO buyers. Unfair to say they are not trading but have to think a lot of them are not for now. So just napkin math hypotheticals, 59.3M shares after top 25 IPO buyers. $DRAM ETF has 2,898,599 kospi shares currently, and have started buying $SKHY already - they have 850,000 SKYH shares. 2,898,599 KOSPI shares is equivalent to 28,985,990 SKHY. I dont think theyve said that they would switch but IF they did that's another 29.8M shares or so just for that 1 ETF Then SKYH is down to 29.5M shares... All this is hypothetical of course... Just basic hypotesis. Not to mention all the other ETFs that will hold this, all the funds that had no access to Korean markets who can trade this now. All the dumb levered ETFs. I think the premium can get real dumb. Im long both SKYH and $660.KS. for my trading there i think there's opportunity cost in monitoring this trade, when being in the spread, which doesn't fit my personal style - so i dont think i'll be in the spread at all - but thats personal preference

Investor Letters

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Danaher’s robotics era

Danaher’s new CEO paired a Q3 beat and raised EPS outlook with a 2027 4%-5% organic-growth starting point, while pitching AI-enabled…

DHR $165B
Best Anchor Stocks 1 click

Meta Earnings, Muse and the Frontier, Musebook

Meta’s earnings hinge on whether investors back Zuckerberg’s Muse vision and the compute spending required to build it.

META $1.6T
Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 1 click

ORCL Update

Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…

ORCL $363B
Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Anthropic Deep Dive

Anthropic’s $80.7 billion first-half loss was mostly fair-value marks, while $16.3 billion revenue and compute economics showed a $974…

AMZN $2.9T
CV's Substack 7 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $20B
310 Value’s Newsletter 5 clicks

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