Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

NU $60B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Oct 25 AXP $211B

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

Librarian Capital's Research Library 3 clicks

Oct 25 PM $316B

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Invariant 13 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

SpaceX closes $40 billion debt deal for AI chips, Elon Musk says $SPCX https://t.co/VElSKttyze

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

AstraZeneca Readies New Portfolio of Targeted Cancer Therapies $AZN https://t.co/9wErSW0T14

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 3 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

9/n $CME CEO with @tracyalloway @TheStalwart on futures, swaps, prediction markets, and perps. Nice contrast to the "anything goes" policies, and nice contrast to their episode last week with the Hyperliquid guy (link to prior round up at the bottom) https://t.co/miODfdAS9E

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

6/n @bizbreakdowns @ReustleMatt is back! This time covering $AFRM. BNPL very underpenetrated, several growth products, "bet the jockey" too. https://t.co/i7Pr6Mr3r4

@BarbarianCap Oct 25 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

2/n $CRWD CEO on @NoPriorsPod things got bleak last week on that front, will get worse https://t.co/cJfAoomQ8V

@aleabitoreddit Oct 25 6 clicks

Serenity on X

Just another $40B going into the "AI Infra" Bubble... Elon stated this $SPCX financing would primarily fund $NVDA GPU procurement H1 2027. Which indirectly increases demand for memory, networking, etc needed. In some other notes, VPEC today in UDN: "InP substrates is seriously in short supply" in regards to suppliers like $AXTI. - Morgan Stanley believes that InP substrates, EML and CW lasers will be the primary bottlenecks - VPEC emphasized that whoever can secure more raw material supply in the future will have greater pricing power and influence in the market. Very true about supply procurement... both upstream materials like epiwafers/substrates to ultimately compute. We're in a volatile period where all your largest companies in the world are fighting over control of the future of AI infrastructure. Any slowdown seems unlikely.

@OddDiligence Oct 25

Odd Diligence on X

$IREN chart* is most 🔥 of all the neoclouds resulting from all the slick marketing they are doing good job @danroberts0101 * chart of "IREN" Wikipedia unique page views https://t.co/xWEj1dJUf7 https://t.co/xsb9Z62J1I

@TidefallCapital Oct 25

Trevor Scott on X

@wealthyfranklin you can buy csu at the same growth rate for half the multiple of $NOW when factoring in after tax SBC.

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $19B

CV's Substack Oct 24 10 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $23B

P Equity Research Oct 24 7 clicks

Deep Dive: $ASML

ASML’s €230 million EUV machines underpin advanced AI chip production, with demand booked through 2028 after nearly $9 billion and two…

ASML $631B

Rebound Capital Oct 24 8 clicks

Netflix's Apocalypse Fears Overly Done - Cash Cow With Renewal Prospects

Netflix pairs international engagement, free cash flow and buybacks with plans for double-digit revenue growth, margin expansion and larger…

NFLX $511B

Juxtaposed Ideas Oct 24 8 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $83B

Doomberg Oct 24 11 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

Applied Materials targets AI-driven demand for advanced logic, DRAM and packaging, supported by services revenue and operating leverage…

AMAT $314B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 4 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $30BTSLA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 29 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $30B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 12 clicks

DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors

DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…

DOCN $11B

Star Investments Oct 23 9 clicks

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…

BE $67B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $56B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Future-proofing A Portfolio (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Eagle Point favors McKesson, AutoZone and other physical-network businesses with durable demand, scale moats and lower disruption risk than…

MCK $113B

Eagle Point Capital Apr 4

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $56BCRWD $268B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Hasbro Isn't a Toy Company Anymore. That's the Problem.

Hasbro’s shift beyond toys is framed as the core problem for the company.

HAS $17B

Shallow Dives Mar 31

Notes On Next PLC FY26 Results

Next reported FY26 EPS growth of 17% and free-cash-flow growth of 11%, with international expansion, third-party commissions and online…

NXT $12B

Sector Stories Mar 30

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…

NKE $56B

First Strike Research Mar 29

Between the Vectors: Decoding MongoDB’s Acquisition Math and Executive Exodus

MongoDB’s acquisition math and executive departures.

MDB $32B

Shallow Dives Mar 26 1 click

Visa: The Investment Case Summary

Visa earns roughly 0.5% of transaction value for authorising, clearing and settling payments across its global network, supporting high…

V $766B

Global Outperformers Mar 23

Doubling Down on Iran and OXY

Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…

OXY $63B

Open Insights Mar 20

Sunday, October 25, 2026

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