Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Oct 19 NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 19 APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 66 clicks

From X

@junkbondinvest Sep 23 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Update on Loparex, the loan Blue Owl marked from 88 to 5 cents in just 8 months. The restructuring is now set. $OWL's entire ~$160mm 2L gets wiped out for a small piece of equity. Monarch and General Atlantic take control after buying the 1L at distressed prices earlier this year. Looks like the 5 cent mark in June was close to right. The question was always why it was 88 six months earlier...

@red_dog_capital Sep 23 3 clicks

Red Dog Capital on X

@dalibali2 Same for $AMZN. Controlling the front end isn’t going to replace low prices (scale) and fast delivery speeds (unmatched physical network).

@BlueDuckCap Sep 23 1 click

BDC on X

Security was a breeze at Sofi thanks to $evlv https://t.co/J0TVDC7F8Q

@ACapitalLP Sep 23

A Capital on X

This non-circumvent is very good for $FSLR which is now < $200… https://t.co/Tc3GXdZRLk

@KEDM_COM Sep 23

KEDM.com on X

Visteon $VC announced a $800m buyback (~27% of the market cap) through 2029. With sluggish growth in recent years but solid FCF, cash has been building, and VC has picked up the buying. Things might become interesting again operationally as well. VC is past its toughest 2026 comps and set to inflect on growth (solid wins across 2‑wheelers, commercial vehicles, Toyota, and Asian OEMs). This could mean a return to hsd% organic growth next year, with margins returning to 13%+. Roughly 6x EV/EBITDA.

@ACapitalLP Sep 23

A Capital on X

The $MGM bid was fugazzi. Now we buy? https://t.co/Zi2T462m8v

@Mike10947310 Sep 23 2 clicks

Mike on X

$ESP - solid earnings. Numbers were record high, but main negative is book-to-bill sub 1. However, that's expected as funding will flow in '27. One interesting thing - they added language about positive revenue growth into '27. Normally they haven't provided any sort of guidance.

@John_Hempton Sep 23

John_Hempton on X

@StanG42548339 @420yooper69AMC I appreciate it. By putting all that money into $AMC you allowed $AMC to issue more shares. It used that to repay bonds owned by hedge funds and bought at a discount. Hedge funds made money. You lost. Thanks for playing.

Investor Letters

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Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 19 10 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $367M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $199BCRWD $233B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 19 27 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 34 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $373M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 10 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $36M

Capital Employed Oct 19 69 clicks

SKIN · long

Skinhealth Systems INC

SkinHealth Systems owns a dominant professional skincare consumables franchise but trades at roughly $115 million market cap and $255…

SKIN $73M

Value Investors Club Jul 21 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.3BIOVA $6.7B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 18 16 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 7 clicks

Do You Trust Apple?

Apple’s HomeView strategy ties Siri, privacy and smart-home control to consumer trust in its vision for the home.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 18 3 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 23 clicks

Wells Fargo Earnings Aren't Inspiring Enough, But A 7% Income Opportunity Is

Wells Fargo’s Q3 EPS beat and $12.5 billion net interest income failed to move shares, while WFC.PZ preferreds yield 7.10%.

WFC $250B

Jeremy LaKosh Oct 18 7 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $12B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 25 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $46BLITE $75B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

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